The forthcoming days will be answering this question.

Signals are bidirectional.

On one hand, there are some positive cues, even though limited, that are related with the road map of the resolution process. There is a prepared document, which predicts the “normalization” steps, upon which Öcalan and the government had agreed on, the cease-fire, the integration of the arrivals and the opening of new democratic paths, and has been submitted to the HDP delegation. There is a statement from the Ministry of Healthcare, which states that around 500 PKK-YPG’s injured members are being treated at the hospitals in Suruç and Urfa. There are statements from Öcalan, which underline the calling for tranquility and the resolution process.

On the other hand, the mistrust had reached an extreme level following the recent incidents. Putting the incidents aside, the challenging that is maintained by the state, the security legislation which had been transmitted to the Parliament and possibly narrow the democratic field, the “We had sent our armed forces back to Turkey” type of statements from Bayık, and “raid” attempts are all indicators of the situation.

The communal effects of the mistrust wave are also critical. The language and designations used by the state are continuing to have a ravage effect on the Kurdish public opinion, and to reinforce their one-sided sharp beliefs about every incident, situation and statement. Likewise, the situation taken by the Kurdish movement is also having the same effect on the Turkish public opinion. With their attitude in the recent events, this action is also ripping apart the positive perception that had appeared.

Even though the signals are bidirectional, it is clear that the negativity scale is heavier.

If the recent crisis had sprang from the difference in the resolution process expectancy between the government and the Kurdish movement – which, at the end, looks like that –, then the question “How will this be surpassed?” is still hanging in the middle.

How will the sides meet in the same direction?

Will we ever pass to the agreement phase, where political rights and fields will be discussed?

If these are not succeeded, then will a conflict era be the one that will be started?

And, will this era be sharper compared to the past?

These are not just questions, at the same time, they are the clear and sharp possibilities we will be facing…

As we had always said, the ups and downs in this type of phases arise from the nature of the process and no one should give in to despair.

However, in order to increase hope, new and right steps should be taken at the right time.

To begin with, both sides must have seen the extent of risk caused by the conflicts in this era. This type of conflict in such a scale, where the PKK would bring security forces of 10,000 15-18 year olds into the game, instead of having the militants on the mountain and 30,000 people in the districts going out to the streets, would be equal to a disaster. The public and security forces will completely confront each other, and no democratic state will be able to control the situation with security methods or tough statements. If a state attempts this, then the state will quickly evolve into an authoritative system, while the country evolves towards civil war.

At this stage of the incident, it’s greatly beneficial for this table to be perceived as a deeply critical risk, rather than a threat or challenge, by the state and government. In addition, what should be done first in this situation is either taking steps towards re-instituting the environment of trust or straying away from contrary steps that will create a weather of security. Following this, maybe the most important thing is reviewing the “democratic vaporization” policies and opening the doors for the negotiation idea. In other words, the necessary thing here is decreasing the differentiations between the organization and state.

In this sense, the responsibility belongs to the state first.

At this stage, inevitably, the organization and Öcalan should review their editing also.

How?

Tomorrow…