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The status of the rulership and opposition…

As the June election season begins, the political argument platforms are becoming clearer.


On one hand, there is the 10 percent threshold, and, a field that is forming around HDP at the same rate it points at the new forms of the opposition party.


On the other hand, there is the rulership equation within AK Party, which is becoming evident following the Hakan Fidan incident, the economic model argument and the postponement of the transparency law. And finally, the presidential system arguments, especially in relation with the second argument above, follow.


These points are indicating that the topics are beyond being cyclical problems and situations. When observed with attention, it could be seen that we are facing the country’s structural problems, these critical stages of those problems and sharp bends over those argument runways.


The first matter is: the HDP argument is being placed right in the middle of the opposing party issue with its existence and absence in Turkey and the Resolution Process.


As for the other two matters, it is pointing at a politics page that is being opened within the frame of the dominant party. In this page, simple subjects, like the two rulership fields within AK Party, the relation, distance and tension of those fields, and, “the personalization-institutionalization of the rulership” take place.


Especially in this sense, Turkey is advancing towards a new point. Turkey’s “administration style” and its “institution-individual” balance in the political decision processes, are going beyond being an argument between AK Party and the opposing parties, and also tend to sprout within AK Party. This is the picture being pointed out by the statements, different attitudes against the presidency matter, and different tendencies and coordination issues, which became evident in some matters between the government-presidency.


AK Party is a political party, which had triumphed in every election since 2002, maintained and consolidated their rulership position alone, whose success in the in-coming elections is unquestioned, that had guaranteed staying at the rulership position. Already, this means there is a 17-year-long rulership process that has 12 more years ahead… What we are describing is a “dominant political party model”. In other words, a political party, which monopolized the politics and rulership loop, and, this party’s sociologically supported rulership….


The point arrived is closely related with the dynamism within the political parties. There are two causes for this. First one is the fact that, due to their rules, AK Party will be renewing at least in the 1 to 3 ratio. This renewal points at a political field with its elections, rivalries and decision makers. The second source is quite clear. Following Erdoğan’s Presidency, the rulership field had become double layered. A transformation is being experienced within the organization and executive organs, and, creating such layers. The relations between those layers are pointing at a new political state, like Central Bank, the Transparency Law and Hakan Fidan incident, which surrounds decision processes.


This picture is pointing at an argument and increasing, rather than a differentiation, as the opposing party expects and desires, and in this sense, pointing at a de facto situation.


Another important matter, which is as important as the de facto condition, is the fact that the politics, related with the transformation of the rulership, had become indexed to an in-party transformation, rather than inter-party. How will this condition continue? Can we return to a single-headed single model? How can the harmony between the two fields be provided? Time will answer those questions. The election results, possibilities to pass to the presidential model, or, HDP’s chance to exceed the threshold will be indicative in this sense.


This is a new situation related with the rulership matter.


As for the new situation related with the opposition party matter, HDP is gaining liveliness with the arguments around it. HDP will be attracting all the reactions against AK Party to itself. And, in the case that HDP advances to a political party position, which could break AK Party’s power, and exceed the threshold, it will be paving the way for new arguments and diffractions.

How?

Tomorrow…

#HDP
#Central Bank
#AK Party
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