Has the coronavirus epidemic been curbed? Is it slowing down in Europe, the US? Did it peak in Turkey? The outcome will change the world more than the virus itself. The world’s giants will dissolve. The EU will be divided; US-China will clash. Turkey will become the world's new central power. A multi-polar world is taking shape - İBRAHIM KARAGÜL

Has the coronavirus epidemic been curbed? Is it slowing down in Europe, the US? Did it peak in Turkey? The outcome will change the world more than the virus itself. The world’s giants will dissolve. The EU will be divided; US-China will clash. Turkey will become the world's new central power. A multi-polar world is taking shape

The first appearance of the coronavirus (COVID-19) in the U.S. was apparently detected last December. It is said that the Trump administration was also warned in this respect.

It is likely that the situation was taken lightly as it was categorized as a “ordinary annual flu.” This is probably the reason why the U.S. is one of the countries bearing the heaviest burden of the epidemic. These are the claims being put forth.

It is said that the case is similar in many countries, especially Europe where the virus was allegedly given free rein to spread before any measures were taken.

Has the epidemic been curbed?

According to this claim, patients were diagnosed with the flu and pneumonia; the situation was not considered a global epidemic and was perceived at most like the swine flu.

Those acting based on this think that the epidemic has, in fact, peaked in many European countries, that it is going to slow down by the day and subside in a shorter period than expected.

Similar signs have already started coming from Italy, which is one of the worst-hit countries. There are also comments that the virus is close to peaking in Spain, France and the U.K.

Did the virus peak in Turkey; is it in slowdown mode?

So, can such be said for Turkey as well? Could it have peaked in Turkey as well? Can it be said that the epidemic will slow down as of next week and then regress?

Some circles are saying that the epidemic has peaked in Turkey and is in slowdown mode, that the current measures and treatment are going to enable it to slow down and stop. Looking at the trends around the world, it seems quite logical when comparing Turkey to them.

Turkey is the world’s model country in terms of the measures it has taken, treatment, the sensitivity of public institutions, joint fight against the epidemic, health operations, operations to prevent the likely damages of the epidemic, and state-public sensitivity. This is clear.

It is carrying on an extremely successful fight model. It is helping dozens of countries – most of which are among the world’s most rich and powerful.

The tides of the world are turning

While the U.S., Germany, France, the U.K., Italy and Spain are unable to find even the simplest mask and are seizing each other’s health supplies, Turkey is distributing these to people’s homes free of charge. Moreover, it is sending face masks and health supplies to these countries. The world is taking a turn in the opposite direction.

Indeed, this new situation is going to lead to global axis shifts which will take place imminently.

Why is the death rate so high in the US, Europe?

The COVID-19 epidemic first emerged in Wuhan, China, and was considered a “local” issue by Western countries. Nobody ever considered it would lead to global panic. This was perhaps the reason why the death rate is so high in the U.S. and Europe.

However, there are many questions waiting to be answered. Are late measures, neglect and being unprepared the only reasons underlying the high death toll in the U.S., Italy, Spain, France, the U.K. and Germany?

Is it because the virus was considered a “Chinese virus” and hence thought that it would bypass the West? Is it solely because the population is older? The answer to all these is yes, but it still fails to satisfy. There are still cracks and unanswered questions.

The daily death rate in the U.S. reaching almost 2,000, record high deaths in Italy and Spain, the helplessness of G-7 countries while there are less than 4,000 deaths in China is unfathomable.

The outcome will change world more than virus itself. ‘World’ labels may disappear

The damage, human deaths, fear and panic caused by the virus will indeed end. However, the results of the virus will lead to global changes, tremors, more so than the virus itself.

The conflict between the U.S. and World Health Organization is extremely interesting and is the first clues as to what may change. All supranational structures, common areas, organizations, institutions and establishments are losing their credibility.

States no longer want to do business with “intermediary institutions.” They are likely going to exclude them and carry on business in a direct manner: “state-to-state.”

All organizations that have “World” in their titles may lose their efficacy or be eliminated. All “global” structures will likely be excluded.

What will happen to the tyranny of the global finance system?

Even the exclusion of “intermediary institutions, organizations and structures” alone is enough to change the world order.

Changes in the finance system, the concept of money, changes in their affiliated institutions, the further aggression of inclination towards resources and markets, the competition over “food” resources besides defense and health may lead to extremely radical changes.

Does Trump have a surprise up his sleeve?

It seems the tyranny of the global finance system may be questioned and weakened by states. It is possible to say now that at the very least an “awareness” will develop in this sense.

The Trump administration may take steps in the U.S. in this direction and this may onset serious debates and changes throughout the world.

The rate at which the virus is spreading will start to decline worldwide as of next week. However, what awaits us is a much more shattering argument, change, and showdown.

EU will dissolve; US-China tensions will escalate; Turkey will become new central power. A multi-polar world is taking shape

States may start clashing with states, and states with supranational organizations.

The EU will dissolve; southern Europe will leave the EU; U.S.-Europe relations will take new form.

U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China relations will become more belligerent.

States will gain strength while global organizations and common areas will weaken.

Turkey will gain strength and become one of the world’s central powers.

Turkey will become a much bigger center of gravity for the region. It will establish its own EU and gain the opportunity to take bigger steps in building its own power region.

The London- and New York-based finance system may crumble. The multipolar world is starting now.

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