I previously wrote that the steps taken in the early days of the Russia-Ukraine war were essentially aimed at breaking the East Bloc’s resistance, and specifically preventing China's technological, economic, and military development. Ukraine is used in this process as a bait, while Russia is an East Bloc actor whom they want to exhaust. The real target is China. India and the Middle East are side elements, yet they are all a front for the West Bloc.
It will help remember that tensions between China and the U.S. escalated during U.S. President Joe Biden’s term in office, revealing what disturbed the U.S. During this process, U.S. took the first concrete step by applying additional customs tax on China-origin products. Beyond this, restrictions were brought on the U.S. side to Huawei, one of China and the world's biggest and most important technology companies. Going even further, Canadian police later had Huawei company owner’s daughter arrested upon the U.S.’s extradition demand on the accusation of fraud, in order to overcome U.S. sanctions on Iran. U.S. Department of Justice officially announced on Jan. 28, 2019, the financial fraud accusations against Meng. Huawei’s founder's daughter was able to return home after she was released from a three-year home imprisonment in Canada. After signing a “deal” with U.S. prosecutors, the bank fraud accusations against her were denied. As many as 150 Chinese companies are subject to being removed from the likely list in U.S. stock markets if they fail to provide audit records to American regulators under stricter rules. Meanwhile, despite criticisms that it caused inflation in the U.S., the additional customs tax on the products imported from China totaling $370 billion since 2019 are ongoing.
As the spotlight is on the Russia-Ukraine war, an increase was seen recently in the competition – or husumet – between the U.S. and China. Washington accused Beijing this week with “provocations” against the other Asian countries making claims on the South China Sea. Hence, it warned that “aggressive and irresponsible behavior” by Chinese ships and aircraft in the disputed area may trigger a serious event.
Essentially, the last disturbance of the week developed following U.S. spokesperson Pelosi’s plan to visit Taiwan, which China considers to be within its own border. Pelosi’s visit is yet to be confirmed, but there are speculations that it might happen in the upcoming weeks. If the visit does take place, Pelosi will be the highest level U.S. official to visit Taiwan since 1997.
The Chinese government and military are strongly against all foreign visits or expressions of support to Taiwan. Thus, China’s defense ministry responded with increasing reaction to the visit by Pelosi, who criticized the Chinese government, saying they will “not sit and wait.” State media, on the other hand, threatened with “strong measures” under military implication to prevent “any outside intervention, as well as separatist attempts such as ‘Taiwan’s independence.’”
The conflict between the U.S. and China, in the state that gained publicity in 2019, will be further questionable. Multi-polar administrations, rather than the single-center world administration, can better ensure the world’s global balance. However, more important than this, it will give Türkiye and developing countries like Türkiye to make new moves parallel to the increasing soft and hard power.
The glass ceilings preventing economic independence can only be broken through such processes. The most efficient way to manage the process is national and political union during the process in which the cards are re-dealt. A country that is politically scattered, a country that experiences chaos in internal politics will not sit at the table, but be on the menu only!
As the West bloc is aware of this, its concern is to get the 6+1 countries that are very unalike in internal politics to sit at the one negotiation table, and drive Türkiye to a politically ambiguous atmosphere and place it on the menu.
In this respect, the 2024 elections is a process closely followed by groups seeking to invest in Türkiye. Continuing without any losses, this will be in favor of Middle Eastern nations as much as Türkiye. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan will take steps that will change oppressed countries’ unfortunate fate more rapidly after the 2023 elections. There is no time left to lose, the world will find its new balance by 2030.
