Is Erdogan going to launch another military op in Syria? - MEHMET ACET

Is Erdogan going to launch another military op in Syria?

Following a Cabinet meeting on Monday, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, touching upon the attacks against Turkish elements in Syria, said: “We have run out of patience,” signaling a new military operation in the Middle East. 

“We no longer have any patience regarding certain areas that are the source of terrorist attacks against our country from Syria. We are determined to eliminate those threats, either with forces already active there or with our own means,” he said.

Right about now, you might be experiencing a feeling of deja-vu wherein you remember scenes of Turkey being backed into a corner, by Russia on one side of the Syria coin, and the U.S. on the other.

Harbingers are abound that 10 months into Biden’s term, we have returned to the Obama era’s policy concerning Syria and the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK)’s Syrian offshoot, the YPG.

Was it not Biden who said, “What business do we have in Syria?” during the Trump era? It seems he has had a change of heart on the PKK/YPG zone project.

We can see its clearest manifestation with the following expressions Biden used in his letter to congressional leaders last week: 

“The actions by the Government of Turkey to conduct a military offensive into northeast Syria, undermines the campaign to defeat the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, or ISIS, endangers civilians, and further threatens to undermine the peace, security, and stability in the region, and continues to pose an unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States.”

 

Are Russia and American once again in cahoots to corner Turkey?

In the past when tensions on the ground in Syria were “heating up” once more, I have received information from circles in Ankara working closely on the matter that Russia and the U.S. struck a secret deal concerning Syria. 

Furthermore, there has been tangible proof and slip-ups of this situation. 

The most concrete example emerged when the Assad regime had no power to withstand the opposition anymore. 

Remember,  Russia physically entered Syria, along with its military force, on Sept. 30, 2015, and changed the trajectory of the war in their favor by committing great massacres together with the regime.

Then, in 2019, it was revealed that this development had transpired with the approval and, furthermore, with the request of the U.S., providing us with intriguing evidence of a secret Russian-American pact.

 I’ll remind you of this revelation with a short excerpt from reports that circulated in May of 2019:

“Andrew Exum, the Deputy Secretary of Defense for Middle East Policy under the Obama administration, revealed that the U.S. cooperated with Russia to avoid the sudden collapse of the Bashar Assad regime in 2015.

“He said: ‘We worried that the Assad regime might finally collapse – and do so quickly, in a way that would endanger U.S. interests, to include the security of the state of Israel.’” 

He went on to describe the U.S.’s cooperation with the Kremlin as such:  “For much of 2016, the US government engaged in a lengthy series of negotiations with the Russian military and intelligence services over the fate of Syria,” stating that they implemented the plan called a “catastrophic success.”

Is there any need to point out that the outcome of the “catastrophic success” of the American approval of Russia’s official intervention in the Middle Eastern country made Syria what it is today?

 A de facto agreement is already in place between Washington and the Kremlin on the ground in Syria.

The Americans do not interfere with the west of the Euphrates, saying, "It is not our operational area," and the Russians do not go near the east of the Euphrates River, saying, "It is under the U.S.’s domain."


What did the American and Russian chiefs of staff discuss in Helsinki 20 days ago? 

Well, could the latest attacks on Turkey’s military presence in Syria be the work of another Russian-American deal?

Let’s think of it like this: 

If the PKK/YPG attacks Turkey's presence in the east of the Euphrates, this may damage the claim that the U.S. has been trying to uphold from the very beginning: that the "YPG presence is not a threat to Turkey."

Instead, the Americans may have conducted secret dealings with the Russians and mobilize the YPG presence in the West of the Euphrates.

If such a secret agreement does, in fact, exist, when one considers what tangible clues could be, I discovered that the U.S. and Russian chiefs of staff met in Finland 20 days ago where they held a 6-hour meeting.

The two figures also reached a consensus not to disclose the content of the meeting. 

According to reports, the main agenda of the meeting was the Afghanistan issue.

But perhaps they talked about Syria and concocted a secret plan.

One has to consider every possibility under such sinister circumstances.

But, can this game of cards be collapsed?

We’ve done it before, we can do it again.

But, first, we have to meticulously interpret the trajectory of the game.


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