When a youngster named Muhammed Buazizi set himself on fire right in the middle of a bazaar in Tunisia, that day, December 17, 2010, had gone down in history as the beginning of Arab Spring. Since that day, there were some great diffractions in the Arab region and those days designated the fate of the forthcoming days. The attack on the American Consulate in Libya was one of them; it affected the fate of the Arab Spring. The Coup in Egypt and the Eastern Gotav massacre were like that, where the US decided to cross their “chemical weapon” red line in Syria for the sake of nuclear negotiations with Iran and thus become an observer of this massacre. It seems that, Saudi Arabia's military operation on Yemen, as they answered the call of President Hadi, who had been overthrown by the Houthis that are being supported by Iran, will be going down in history as one of those breaking points. Because at the moment, for the first time since the World War II, we are face to face with this situation; all the countries in the Middle East, from Afghanistan to Libya, are involved in an at least one military conflict or disagreement between themselves.
President of the U.S,, Obama, had given his word for logistical and intelligence support to the operation in Yemen, in which 10 countries are participating, including Gulf countries and Pakistan. Also, by saying “Iran and terrorists should retreat from Yemen”, President Erdoğan also announced that Turkey is supporting this operation. As the operation, in which 100 warplanes are participating, continues, it had been declared that Saudi Arabia had piled up 150,000 soldiers on the Yemen border. Will there be a land operation? If so when? It's difficult to make a guess at this point; however, it was clear that when the Houthis decided to attack the tribes supported by the Saudis, the biggest country in the Gulf region wouldn't let them get away with it. The death of King Abdullah, just a week after the Houthi coup, had postponed the expectations on what the Gulf region would do against the chaos set up by Iran in Yemen to gain control. Moreover, it was even thought that during the reign of King Salman Bin Abdülaziz, Saudi Arabia would have a soft transition in their regional policies. However, especially when the second and crown prince Nayef's intolerance towards Iran was adjoined by Iran's provocations, that made the big kingdom look like a joke; it seems that the new king had given up on not going over the limits. It's also certainly known that during the simultaneous Saudi Arabia visits of Egypt's coupist President Sisi and President Erdoğan at the beginning of March, these matters were also discussed.
As a matter of fact, today Turkey is against Sisi in Egypt; however, in the operation in Yemen led by Saudi Arabia, these two countries will be giving their support. As the U.S. and coalition partners are fighting against ISIL in Iraq and Syria, they are side by side with Iran, but they are still supporting the operation in Yemen led by Saudi Arabia, who had taken Iran on.
Maybe the U.S.'s biggest friend in the region, Israel, and the U.S. are against each other this much for the first time, due to the nuclear negotiations; however, the U.S. is also lending support against ISIL, and at the same time they are carrying the same concerns as Saudi Arabia, because of Iran. Iran is fighting actively in Syria in order to protect the sultanate of Beşar Assad and, thus, threatens Turkey; however, they are facing Sisi in Egypt, which is being supported by Saudi Arabia. Iran and Turkey are against each other in Syria, Iraq and Yemen; however, both of them are being threatened by ISIL. Iraq becomes the first one to reprimand Iran's defensiveness against the Yemen operation, and following that, Nasrallah in Lebanon is breathing fire.
It could be easier to explain this intricate table by drawing a diagram, similar to how we tried to explain the situation in Syria one or two years ago over “Who is supporting who” graphics. In those days, if Turkey was saying that if ongoing chaos in Syria is not intervened, then the whole region would be face to face with the danger of “Lebanonization- Becoming Lebanese”. Today we can see that this sad presumption is being actualized and the chaos in Syria is spreading to the whole geography. We are nearing the days, where the proxy wars are coming to an end and the military struggles are knocking on the door; in concept there are religion and sect wars. For many years, the region had never come face to face with a Shi'ite-Sunni war on such a large scale.
Iran, with its sectarian attitude and the crimes it conducted from time to time towards humanity directly or indirectly, had been kicking on this door for a while now and calling trouble on its own. Likewise, following the effect of Iran's concentration loss, Syrian antagonists had captured Idlib in Yemen and thus gained great victory, reminding people of the old days after a long time. In other words, it's only a matter of time before we start replacing the “Idlis front”, the“Aleppo front” expressions with statements like “Yemen front”, “Damascus front” that are used in world wars.
The Shi'ite sectarianism-based discrimination and the oppression against the Sunnis, Iraq and Syria being in the first place, had directed all the anger of the region towards Iran. ISIL scavenged off this anger and gradually become brutal. Organizations that support ISIL placed this anger in the center and became popular. The coalition under the lead of the U.S., which made fighting against ISIL their priority, disregarded this anger and rekindled it even further. However, long before reaching this discontented point, this fire could have been extinguished and prevented from expanding. It hasn't been prevented. If the U.S., Iran, the Gulf countries and Israel haven't derailed the Arab Spring, which had started in the name of peace, democracy and people, through panic, then we would have been standing at a different point today. Due to the people, who placed their guns on the ballot boxes as a result of supporting coups, Shi'ite expansionism, Political Islam hostility, today there will be more force commanders added to the “Qasem Soleimani”s, “Ebu Bekir El Baghdadi”s and “Khalifa Haftar”s. Thus, from now on, hot wars will be replacing proxy wars.
