Ankara's plan to 'take' Iran - NEDRET ERSANEL

Ankara's plan to 'take' Iran

There is a bilateral change in Iran's foreign policy priority. Tehran used to prefer India in the eastern direction and the US-Russia-Syria in the western direction. Now it is leaning in the Ankara and Islamabad directions.

This does not mean that the others – especially the US – have been sacrificed. Either some have adjusted their distance with Tehran, or Tehran played with the order because of strategic shifts.

Iran's Pakistan-Turkey inclination is smart and on the same vector, because it leads to global paths, rather than only regional. Pakistan's India-based national security policies are obvious. The ancient enmities of countries that possess nuclear weapons almost impose it upon the other countries to take sides.

However, Israel is the reason Iran decreased its cooperation with India. Just as New Delhi found Tel Aviv more suitable to its strategic interests, it also did not want to deal with Israel's ambition to besiege Iran. Of course the US contributed, too.

Hence, on the 25th, President Hassan Rouhani made an official visit to Pakistan and was welcomed by Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif. This is where China enters the stage. When the Chinese leader also could not see strategic closeness from his visit to India in 2014, he had shortly made an interesting visit to Pakistan. The most important of agreements signed during Rouhani's visit is the Pakistan natural gas line agreement.

This energy line starts from Beijing and is one of the key points/nervous ends of the gigantic Silk Road band, which one branch will pass through the Marmaray and the third bridge, the other through Crimea and "secured" Russian territories to reach all the way to the UK.

Within this direction, there are two more points at the global intersection of sea, land and energy ways. One is the Gwadar port under Pakistan's control but run by China, the other is the Chabahar port in Iran for which the development project is implemented by India. The distance between the two is only 72 kilometers.

Chabahar connects Afghanistan to the sea too. They are both regions of troublesome Baluchistan. Together with their gas lines, they are both "pearls." (We said we would write about it, now this is the bomb that exploded in Lahore on March 27. We have marked the perpetrator too.)

Iran is playing to these eastern lines that will reach Turkey, and from there to the independence of Europe. And it is backed by the US.

One of the fundamental reasons for Tehran's love for Pakistan and Turkey is to balance the scales with Saudi Arabia in the Sunni bloc. Tehran sees Ankara and Islamabad as tools to melt the isolation fed by Saudi Arabia and Israel but… Let's leave it at “but.”

Warning: Pakistan is seen by the Gulf region as the main pillar of the “Islamic security” architecture. When the war in Yemen broke out, let us remember its statement, “I will consider any attack on Saudi Arabia an attack on me.” It is a warning to Iran, yet Islamabad did not make any active military moves toward Yemen either.

It is not known, but leadership of the “Islamic alliance” was offered to Pakistan by Riyadh. Of course, with all costs borne to the Gulf. The emotion triggered by such a situation in Tehran may be described as “panic.”

What is/will Pakistan doing/do now? It is balancing its relations with Iran and Saudi Arabia. It attaches importance to its economic ties with Riyadh, and it would not want to lose it, but Iran's return to the game should not ruin the regional and global stability.

So what is Turkey's role here? “Role” will not suffice. Let us call it a kind of “scriptwriter…”

We had said, “Pakistan is balancing its relations with Iran and Saudi Arabia.” Turkey is the one balancing Iran and Saudi. Now, Tehran will return to the game under Ankara and Islamabad's supervision. Sorry, I mean “join.”

If Pakistan, its military, intelligence, et cetera are not scattered in an unbalance – the bombs' destruction strength and the reaction of its armed forces, 5,000 people being interrogated in two days – it will get to the extent where the “Revolutionary Guards” who hold the “system” in their hands in Iran, which has decided to place direct its entire weight toward economy and trade, will be eliminated. They are the ones who control the money.

Iran's parliament speaker Ali Larijani's recent statement is interesting: “ 'Some bodies' in the country are overshadowing Iran's business environment. Their intervention in the government harms the economy.” (“Larijani says economy must be ceded to the people,” March 26, 2016, İRNA.)


If nobody knows all the plans integrated with one another for every balance/interest in the region, if we skip how the same devious business happens in Cuba or the Mediterranean, for example, we would not understand the detainments in Izmir while Turkish delegations go in and out of grey meetings in Washington and Russian guests are hosted.

Or why the Hagia Stephanos Monument has been re-erected in Istanbul...

We are left to deal with the shackles placed on our feet… The consuls going to courts, deputies who claim the National Intelligence Organization (MIT) truck news, the Democratic Union Party (PYD) and the Gülenist Terror Organization (FETÖ), et cetera, which are still under US protection.

So you do not lift up your heads.

Where is the media and columnists who are supposed to say, “Lift up your heads?” They are busy shining the shackles.

The above sub-heading is the title for my next article. I am knowingly announcing it to rival newspapers and relevant columnists from now.

The practicals of that order currently established in the region were on that table… Nothing more. Let's see you write about it. Your time has started…


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