Complicated… In February 2016, there are elections in Iran, at the end of the same year there is a presidential election in the USA. Before that, the nuclear agreement, which has been reached between Washington-Tehran should have been obstructed by the US Congress…
The White House was suffering for the agreement with Iran not to be tripped up by the Republicans in the US Congress (Senate and House of Representatives) and the political image of the President was in question. Now we can write that this risk has been overcome.
But… synchronously other voices have been heard from Tehran; “After the nuclear agreement, the USA went on treating Iran as an enemy. In the guise of negotiation with Iran, the USA is after influencing the country and enforcing its demands. We will not hold talks with the United States on issues other than nuclear negotiations. We agreed to hold talks with America only on the nuclear issue, I have not authorized negotiations and we will not hold talks with them…" (09/05, İRNA.)
So… Iran's supreme leader, the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei closed the door to any other cooperation between the United States and Iran!
However…Iranian President Hassan Rouhani a day before said, “Iran is 'ready' to talk to the US and Saudi Arabia about Syria."( 08/09, Aljazeera) Isn't it interesting?
We know the reason of the double-fronted explanations from Tehran and again there are clues in Khamenei's sentence; “Many politicians and political groups in Iran demonstratedaconciliatoryattitude and helped the United States' stance as the Great Satan."
It is obvious that the election approaching quickly is imposing great pressure on Tehran and all the equilibrium of the region will be equipage of this election campaign…
Capturing the supreme leader...
It won't be wrong to say that the USA and West are waiting for the elections which will be held in February to shape their Iranian politics, which means it is a blurred area till then.
It won't be wrong either; there will be the USA and Western influence on these elections. Beneath the statements of the opposition wing in Tehran “never collaborate with the USA; All the ships will be burned" lays out Iran's hearings in this way.
In spite of these explicit warnings, it doesn't require foresight to say that America will take place in Iran's power equilibrium without being caught and “anaesthetizing". The West will support the reformists and will try to determine the next “supreme leader" and/or to influence the present one as much as possible. Of course, Tehran; “to find collaborators"…
Giving B52 to Israel??
It is known how Tel Aviv raged the USA opening the doors to Iran to return the region and the world and Israel's fear/mistrust against Tehran is exactly going on. But Iran has fears as well…
Just as America's making Israel feel itself safe against Iran, more important than that during the presidential election adjusting the opposition of the Jewish lobby and finally giving Israel the weapons “to be able to attack Iran alone"!
There is a necessity for big and capable bombs in order to hit the nuclear plants of Iran. Since Israel doesn't have such kind of bombs, it doesn't have an aircraft which will carry them.
It is witnessed that the White House began to be forced and nowadays highly pressed to give ammunition and carriers. This is also dangerous for the region! It is not assertive to assume that TSK (Turkish Armed Forces) and MİT (National Intelligence Organization) made notes of this
('How to put some teeth into the nuclear deal with Iran', 25/08, Washington Post, notice the writers: Dennis Ross and David Petraeus.)
Then we can say as a sub title for the Iranian supreme leader's outburst against America- aside from the election-, we can say the political games in Washington and "in other words points the new economic/military" sanctions that can be imposed.
If this happens, Iran starts to make nuclear weapons.
Those remaining silent for 10 years will speak on September 28…
The possibility of England and Australia to send soldiers to the “secure zone"- while Rouhani was making that statement, Austrian President was next to him…
The claims increasing suddenly and coming from more than one source, Russia's increasing its military existence in Syria and its establishing a Russian base next to Hatay…Its sending the biggest nuclear submarine, Donskoy to Mediterranean…
Even the claims on its fighting next to Damascus… The USA's “we don't understand these, we are concerned" statements...
Well we mentioned above, Iran's “We talk to everyone in the region and in the world" statement…
The Western doors “rapidly" and immediately opened for Turkey's refugee issue.
Israel's repeated “Let's make peace" attempts/pressure, time adjusted and Kremlin based; “Assad is ready for resolution" messages, etc…
Our first word was “complicated"…
May it not be complicated?
Look at two points, the secret is there; 1. Saudi Arabian King's USA visit. (You will again read the backstage here.) 2. Ukraine-Syria deal.
('Russlands Rolle in Syrien: Putins gefährliches Spiel', 10/09, Spiegel.)
Does Assad fall till the election? *
Till which election?...
Turkey? Iran? America?
Whoever pulls thestrings, will decide the time.
But there is a date for the first step. It is mentioned above.
