Iran's courage will fall short of the coalition's magnitude - NEDRET ERSANEL

Iran's courage will fall short of the coalition's magnitude

The Erdoğan-Obama meeting belongs to the “first coalition,” while the Erdoğan-King Salman meeting belongs to the “second coalition.” As a matter of fact, there is a new situation in the Middle East... It's necessary to quickly adapt to this…

With a little bit of bad luck, we wrote on the 25th that nobody will be able to stop the rip which stretches from Ukraine to Yemen… It is not yet fully torn…

They will write it as “a new crisis,” “a new front” and write about how many countries are participating, how many soldiers and jets are taking part. Let them write. Let us look, instead, at “how a huge Sunni wall and a military operation of such scale was organized, and by whom.”

Otherwise, there is no need for major weapons as there are 70 million rifles for a population of 25 million people in Yemen…

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Roughly speaking, there is currently a civil war in Yemen, which is supported by Iran on one side and opposed on the other by some Arab countries, led by Saudi Arabia. And this civil war, which feeds itself on sectarian differences,is creating strategic risks which can affect the “Greater Middle East” as a whole. Yemen's geopolitical value for the Arab Peninsula has for a while concerned Riyadh in terms of the point of resolution, which drove it to a wall. Now, as it is known, a number of countries are conducting military operations in Yemen, led by Saudi Arabia.

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Even though Iran denies it, of course they are taking a side. Iran's supreme religious leader Ali Khamenei's advisor Ali Akbar Velayeti's statements, when he said, “The Houthis in Yemen are a part of the Islamic awakening in Yemen,” have been archived as a sensitive hint at Iran's “assistance” to the region.

We can understand that Riyadh is also “striking” Iran with this operation, evident by the official statement released by Saudi Arabia the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Qatar and Kuwait: “In order to protect Yemen and her people from Houthi militants, used as a tool by foreign powers who never ceased to threaten security and stability in the region since the past…”

Ankara, too, shares similar views: “We call upon the Houthi Movement and their foreign supporters to refrain from acts which threaten the peace and security in the region.”

It is necessary to recognize the fact that the operation and the coalition's partnership structure consolidates sectarian solidification in opposition in the Middle East. (However… it is not in a position to create these sectarian wars and break relations with Iran. Don't get too attached to the “so called soft” scolding directed against Ankara by Tehran as the magnitude of this coalition surpasses the courage of any country to spoil relations!)

There is no one unaware of the fact that relations between Riyadh and Tehran are sour. That being the case, the U.S.' viewpoint of Tehran disturbs Riyadh. The kingdom is seeing that her greatest ally is turning herself towards Iran with pre-calculated steps. This situation, in turn, forces Riyadh to take steps towards Tel Aviv. Both countries are aware of the fact that this development is actually to their detriment, along with “some” other countries. (It would be a challenging event to say that “Israel is absent” in the operation, at least in terms of “intelligence". Israel is “tacitly” on the side of Riyadh.)

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Let's change the angle now: “Where does the U.S. politically stand in this operation? Is Washington, which is the coalition leader of all military operations in the region, in rapport with the “political front of this war?”

This is a legitimate question and an explanation is necessary if the American political sphere, which has moved towards the Shia in Iran, Iraq and Syria, has differed here. The involvement of regional states in one of the Middle East's many critical issues and assume responsibility has probably pleased the White House, but not this much…

Let's share an excerpt from the agreement between Washington and Riyadh regarding Yemen…

One of the fundamental reasons for this operation was the fact that some tribes against the Ansarullah-Shiites, some representatives from Sunni religious factions and from the overthrown government have come to a point where they were cooperating with Jihadist/Salafi/Al Qaida/ISIL forces. This meant the “spark” which could flame up the region with sectarian conflict until countries under Turkey's south would unite!

There is now another coalition in the region, after the U.S. initiated coalition against ISIL and tacitly against Iran, Iraq and Syria. This coalition's military and financial headquarters is based in Riyadh. As you can remember, the Saudi military has intervened in Bahrein where there was an uprising against the administration in 2011. What is revealed with Yemen is that wherever Iranian influence reaches, the same coalition will be on duty –more institutionalized than before!”


Turkey's stance is also quite clear. It is included in both coalitions! It forms its attitude against Iran through this ground. President Erdoğan's remarks when he said “Iran and terrorist organizations must withdraw from Yemen” and “Iran should not take ISIL's place in Mosul” indicate the scope of the solution which will resolve the matter. (Let us also record Nechirvan Barzani's statement: “Turkey should take part in the liberalization operation of Mosul with its troops.)

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