The real aim of the assassination of Qassem Soleimaini is to re-organize Iraq, which is like an out-of-control satellite, constantly crashing into the “others,” because Iraq was no longer within the orbit of the 2003 invasion. Iran is supposed to be next.
Iraq became derailed when former U.S. President Barack Obama withdrew. Washington and Tehran have been secretly flirting for years, yet this was reflected in the Middle East as, “Iran is throwing the U.S. out of Iraq.” This was the formation of Tehran’s new field of attraction/influence.
Then, Daesh emerged, leading the U.S. to return to the region with billions of dollars’ worth of trucks, massive bases, and U.S. President Donald Trump.
The final part this chronology evolves upon tensions soaring between the U.S. and Iran in the fight over “who will rule Baghdad.”
It came to a point where the demonstrators who burned the Iranian Consulate in Najaf were claimed to be “encouraged” by the U.S./Saudi Arabia.
The assassination of Qassem Soleimani removed the biggest ace off the table, while Mike Pompeo promised to “protect Iraq and Iraqis” – as a matter of fact, at a time when Baghdad said, “Get lost.”
The U.S.’s “current” analyses are based on sophisticated interpretations.
First, the Iran-backed groups in the region are like headless chickens. They can crash into one another! Second, “maximum pressure” on Iran will continue. Third, the Iran nuclear deal must be re-established from scratch despite the objections of Tehran, alongside certain European countries. Fourth, most importantly, the U.S. administration is planning to expand this fight much beyond the U.S.-Iran conflict. Plans are being made accordingly. Fifth, NATO’s call to the region will certainly give rise to major problems; this is exactly what it means to “put up a new sign,” in other words, “NATO-ME (Middle East).”
Thus, when you start saying “NATO-ME is the point at which the Soleimani assassination was hatched,” and try to tailor this to Iraq, it will be too tight. We are speaking geopolitics, and all seams will burst (“Pompeo says killing of Soleimani is part of a bigger strategy to deter U.S. foes,” Jan. 14, The Guardian).
This takes us back to NATO’s 2019 London summit: a) the first time China was depicted as a target; b) energy resources and the duty to protect the “principal instruments of economic hegemony” were tasked to the alliance.
Iraq is the first test field. It enjoys the most immediate and closest rapport with China. Meanwhile, those instruments are not service lines to feed big players China and India with oil and natural gas. It is the dollar. It is the petro-dollar. We will be seeing more attacks here against challenges aimed at the dollar.
This critical crisis network is directly linked to Libya.
Hence, it is not possible to solve the issue of war-torn Libya with the suggestions and initiatives of the small minds in Turkey or the minor countries hiding behind East Libyan Commander Khalifa Haftar. The method Russia and Turkey use to approach such problems needs to be understood.
Those who are unable to understand how the U.S. which has gone off the rails in Iraq is now silent in Libya are the ones who are going to burn in those deserts.
If this is one question, another is how Turkey placed the burden of the Libya crisis on Russia and at least carried it to the Berlin Summit without causing any harm.
Haftar leaving Moscow without signing the ceasefire deal is indicative of the fear of those hiding behind him. We know the usual suspects. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) and France are at the top of that list – then followed by Egypt. Hence, the meaning behind Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu’s statement, “If Haftar continues like this, the Berlin process will be meaningless.”
The U.S. closely monitored and wanted two things in Libya. First, the interests of international companies in the country or those within the consortium. Second, the prevention of China’s existing or potential presence. If there are no issues with respect to these two matters, it quietly supported the two “allies” in solving the issue using appropriate formula. We can say that it also counted cards in its relations with Europe.
As much as Libya is an exit to the Mediterranean, it is also a gateway to Africa. Currently, China is aware that it is being excluded from Libya – exactly like what happened in Iraq, and it is a party.
Russia and Turkey – plus Italy, and perhaps NATO as well – are seeking a solution. For example, some of the locks Turkey has been unable to open due to lack of time have been opened by Russia on behalf of Ankara.
This circumstance so perfectly overlaps with so many maps that it should not be considered undermining for Moscow, which sees its strategic presence in the Mediterranean, in Turkey.
It it not over yet – as a matter of fact, it is just getting started – but if we go to Berlin in this state, with Germany’s participation, it might lead to the diplomacy table being set in favor of Turkey. “Exchange” items are next. This is why Haftar and those supporting him are running from the table. But they are eventually going to pull up chairs and sit down.
Thus, we can say that Tripoli is bothering Egypt, the UAE, the Greek Cypriot Administration of Southern Cyprus (GCAS), Greece, and Saudi Arabia.
Those who suggest the use of 20th-century tools as solutions in the use of diplomacy in Turkey are now ancient. It is difficult to modify them. Those who persist will end up in the same dump.