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Escalation in Gaza and the broader Middle East

The situation in Gaza is escalating, and it seems to be a well-thought-out plan. The issue for Israel goes beyond just aiming to end Hamas; there are indications that they intend to force the eviction of Palestinians from Gaza, completely empty the area, and eventually open it up for Jewish settlements, as per their statements. Gaza is not the final target; they plan to extend this to the West Bank, with extremist leaders, allies of Netanyahu, showing no signs of stopping until they achieve a thorough 'cleansing.' It's a comprehensive operation. It's hard to predict how feasible this is at this point, but there are signs that this escalation could potentially involve Christian communities in Jerusalem at a certain stage.


The United Kingdom and the U.S. are staunchly supporting this escalation, while the EU, especially Germany and France, completes the alignment. Geopolitical power clusters have formed a line extending from the Baltic region, Eastern Europe, and Greece down to the Eastern Mediterranean, Girit, Cyprus, Israel, and the Levant. Israel, once done with its 'cleanup' in Gaza, is likely to turn its attention to Syria as the next target.


Understanding this requires clearing our minds from the pressure of official narratives. It's evident that these plans have originated, especially in the UK, from financial powers, military structures, and industries working in tandem. In contrast, neither Russia nor Iran wants to get involved in the developments in the Levant more than necessary. Russia is silent about Israel's actions in Syria, indicating a kind of agreement where Israel refrains from supporting Ukraine, allowing Israel a free hand in Gaza and Syria.


Iran, from the very beginning, clarified that it has no connection with Hamas' actions. Following this, Iran prevented possible involvement from its proxy, Hezbollah, and other elements in Lebanon. Russia's stance is understandable, but how do we explain Iran's reserved stance? It now seems clearer that, ultimately, Iran is working as a partner with Israel. Both Iran and Israel need each other as enemies. The function of Iran-backed groups in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon is to provide justification for Israel's expansion. In return, Iran expects the billions blocked by Western banks to be returned, especially from the Biden administration, which leans towards reconciling with Iran and bringing it back into the system. The extremist minority that wants to escalate the attacks may exist, but they are not as influential as they might think. The mainstream view is to first reconcile Iran with the Gulf and the Arabs, integrating it into the system.


Iran's deal with China is arguably its smartest move lately. The easing of relations between Iran and the Gulf, China's approach to the Arab states, and various agreements parallelly unfolded. China, in fact, played a crucial role in the rapprochement between Arabs and Persians. Initially, we perceived this as a move against the West and Israel (a perspective influenced by orthodox geopolitical views). However, there was no reaction from either the West or Israel, suggesting that this might have been a coordinated effort. Essentially, these developments were events that would eventually open up space for Israel. Recently, Xi Jinping and Biden met, deciding to suspend their disputes. For now, at least, the situation in the Pacific seems to have calmed down. Don't be surprised; the powers managing the U.S. and China are not that different. Just as Biden is tied to London banks and Wall Street, Xi Jinping is equally connected. China has not been eager to align with Russia, given its historically controlled relationship with energy barons. China has not strongly condemned Israel's brutality, possibly for the same reason. Just like Russia, China is, to some extent, a part of these developments, though not as directly involved.


Everyone is focused on the U.S. elections, as if Trump's return would magically end the conflicts. While Trump did take a different approach by reaching an understanding with Russia, neutralizing NATO, leaving Europe to Russia, and adopting a Middle East policy that included Israel under Russian influence, events did not unfold as he anticipated. If he returns for a second term, he will likely do his best to halt the Russia-Ukraine war. If he takes action against Europe, using the Biden administration as leverage, it wouldn't be surprising. Can he stop Israel, and does he want to? I'm not sure.

#Gaza
#US
#elections
#NATO
#Palestine
#Trump
#Russia
#Biden
#Hamas
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