It has now been three months since the demonstrations in Iran started. It is certain that the current picture is different from the previous ones, which were shortly suppressed. The killing of a youthful Kurdish-origin girl by Iranian morality police ignited all the sentiments that developed as a result of the regime’s decades-long and still ongoing oppressions. The mass demonstrations that shortly spread through nearly all of Iran are continuing at full throttle. It is almost like a Persian Spring. It seems very likely to continue further. The regime now has no other option but to face the gravest picture in its history. Yet it insists on implementing known methods and is resorting to violence. Let alone alleviate the events, these drills are exacerbating them. Time and again, we do see some amateur efforts by the regime to give messages aimed at calming the situation. However, they remain useless. It is quite clear that the abolition of the morality police, and the enactment of certain reformist decisions will not ensure the regime’s restoration, or bring stability to Iran. The uprising in Iran is of a “revolutionist” nature. The mullahs want the regime to be completely eliminated. 

 I was in Iran for a brief period. Based on my observations and what I learned from my Turkish friends, who was been living there for a long time, it was clear that the regime no longer had much reputation in the eyes of the public. Persians are an elegant nation with a gentle culture. Displeasure and complaints were common. People were complaining, yet they were doing this hopelessly and with comparison. In the final analysis, I sensed a strange acceptance. We can see that this threshold has been overcome. But what will happen? Considering the structure of the opposition in Iran, despite being extremely widespread, and popularized, the lack of organization is striking. There is no political party to gather these reactions, and intensify them to achieve a result. Sure, a political party is not essential as a nongovernmental organization is perfectly capable of serving the same purpose. For example, in the early 1980s, the Solidarnosz movement in Poland organized the opposition and achieved a result. The situation in Iran is quite messy. In such cases, we generally see established organizations step in. The military’s actions in particular are very determining. This is how Nicolae Ceaușescu was ousted in Romania. Ceaușescu’s army sided with the public revolt, and the dictator was toppled. A division is in question between the military and semi-military organizations in Iran – in more concrete terms, between the Iranian Army and the Revolutionary Guard Corps, and Basij. If this is true, and if this division is deepening, then a civil war in Iran is inevitable. But whether Iran can get out of this destructive internal battle in one piece is another story. The Arab Spring ended in a disaster. This will likely be the case in Iran as well. Of course, we need to take into account that this will regionally impact all neighboring countries as well. 

There is almost no community that remains unaffected by the worldwide crisis. Stagnation, the high cost of living, and the breaks in supply chains increasingly continue. These processes are seen in various intensities in a broad spectrum from the U.S. to Europe, and from there to China. Conventional media interestingly chooses not to focus much on these waves of protest. However, news leaked through social media indicates major turbulence, and that it will grow bigger. In Europe, in other words, places where the right to protest is democratically institutionalized, the masses waste no time to react. In countries such as China and Iran, where this right is suppressed, the public board this train taking great risks, even if in a delayed manner. Yet, strikingly they are all spontaneous and without organization. In addition, it is quite obvious what the revolting mass does not want, but there seems to be no certainty regarding what they want. The established political organizations are losing control. Furthermore, we hear news from all corners that make one think of the deep and sensational decay and foulness that inspired Shakespeare’s Hamlet. The amount that has leaked for now expresses only very little of what exists. This is understandable. Politics will not remain out of economic decaying. The lumpen politician generation, who have humanity’s future wrapped around their fingers, are not the cause of this but the result. Yes, the striking statements in Shakespeare’s Hamlet, written four centuries ago, reflect today's reality. There is an air of decay in the world. Wars and civil wars come from this decaying. 

Surely being right is valuable, but it is also positional. What really matters and is difficult is to remain rightful within practice, maintain rightfulness, and achieve a beneficial outcome from it. Looking at the opposition wave, which has emerged by paving the way to economic and political decaying– and which is likely to grow – there seems to be very little to discuss in terms of positional rightfulness. However, I can foresee that it will be difficult to repeat this on a procedural basis. Oppositions are disabled by their disorganization and, more importantly, lack of imagination. This will give rise to results that will further deepen the chaos. This is a scenario repeated many times before. Ultimately, the aim to relieve a Hobbesian security concern will succeed. Protests will end in submission. Then, those like Rifkin will be fully accepted. This will then lead to a phase in which the civilization claim that has made humanity an object of technology is dampened. We may be going through a complicated transition phase of this. We are comprehending the 17th-century climate in the 21st century through Shakespearean and Hobbesian associations.