|
Stability on the inside, chaos on the outside

Actually, we all have to write about a finished election these days.

For fifty-three days, since the comment I"ve made on June 16 when the roof candidate, Ekmeleddin Ihsanoglu, was announced, and the article I had written the day after, nothing more had happened.

The competition had finished right on the day when the competitor candidate was announced; already all the surveys and general tendency is showing this.

I had already stated at that time: the MHP, but especially, CHP base will be losing their motivation to go to the ballot box; there would be great difficulties in promoting the candidate; being a candidate of a party that possesses two different ideologies and bases, he would be experiencing contradictions; and the choice of a profile that has no chance of being in the boxes, meant the end of competition.

According to the surveys and enquiries, the only changing thing is that there will be more resistance in the MHP base.

In brief, like all the writers, in my article on Tuesday, I will be talking about what will happen from now on, rather than who had won the elections or whether the elections ended in the first round.

Actually, since the middle of June, Turkey has been discussing what type of administration there will be after Erdogan steps up to Çankaya, and under whose Prime Ministry/General Presidency they will head towards the 2015 elections.

After AK Party had postponed this discussion, in order to prevent any problems that might be caused because of different opinions and losing focus in elections, we don"t have any other choice than guessing.

The limits of ongoing guesses are already known.

In my opinion, Prime Minister Erdogan has an optional plan in the matter of both form and intensity of administration and Prime Minister/ Chairman Candidate, and he will be specifying which one he will use according to election results, voting rates and the general tendency in the party.

Consequently, it"s really impossible to say anything about the prospective candidate. The election will have effects, not only on the rulership side, but also on the three parties of the opposition. The only hope left in the hands of CHP and MHP in order to avoid claiming responsibility of defeat can only be early general elections, but since this will not happen in the near future, whether these two parties will enter the next general elections with the same leaders is already dubious. The happenings in the domestic policies can be foreseen, but it continues on developing outside our surprise borders – sadly bad surprises. The unacceptable expansiveness of ISIS, or rather ID with its new name, is advancing towards our borders. As of today, after the attacks that seem to be directed at the Iraq Kurd region, Mahmur Camp had been emptied just in case. It"s known that thousands of Turkmens and Ezidis, who have been running away from the new organization of the region that is close to the petrol line between Turkey-Iraq, had been drifted to a geography where they can"t even find any water, let alone minimum requirements.

Turkey is sending help as much as and as fast as it can. However, in the end, the humane help corridor still hasn"t been opened, because under the given condition this incident requires a military operation.

After all, the incidents in the region are advancing in a way that we don"t want. It"s not only in Iraq, but also Syria, Egypt and Gaza, and just starting in Eastern Turkmenistan; there are no pleasing developments in the Muslim geography.

Though, with a couple of reasons, the latest burning developments had started to be experienced just outside our Iraqi border.

Even though these are the happening, a question still comes to our head…

Even though this reason is unacceptable, doesn"t the essential motivation in ID"s appearance and advancing seem to be against the Shias and isn"t it described like that?... Then what was the meaning of the move they made in the Kurdish region, where the majority is Sunni?

This organization, which states, "We are violently against shrines and similar", requires an explanation.

ID, also known as the ISIL sect, is making moves that will change equilibriums, beyond an operation, and this also increases question marks.

As a result, the only thing that could be said is that "nothing is as it seems" over our borders and because of the invisible, hotter days await us.


10 yıl önce
Stability on the inside, chaos on the outside
The 'tragedy' of US policy vis-a-vis Israel
Achieving energy independence...
Once again, the US didn't surprise anyone!
As conservatism continues to gain strength...
Most sought-after, challenging to recruit, and expected to rise occupations in Türkiye