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Turkish economy to grow above 6 pct in 2017: OECD

Growth estimated to have exceeded 6 pct in 2017, driven by strong fiscal stimulus and export market recovery

Ersin Çelik
13:44 - 28/11/2017 вторник
Update: 13:48 - 28/11/2017 вторник
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File photo
File photo

Turkey's economy is expected to expand above six percent by the end of this year, according to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) on Tuesday.

"Economic growth is estimated to have exceeded six percent in 2017, driven by strong fiscal stimulus and an export market recovery," the OECD said.

"It is projected to edge down but to stay between 4.5 percent and five percent in 2018 and 2019," it said. "Consumer price inflation remains far above the target and disinflation is projected to be slow."

The increase follows the International Monetary Fund upping Turkey’s 2017 growth forecast 2.6 percentage points on Oct. 10, the World Bank raising its forecast 0.4 percentage points on Oct. 19, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) lifting it by 2.6 percentage points on Nov. 7 and the EU increasing by 2.3 percent on Nov.11.

"As fiscal stimulus is scheduled to be withdrawn in 2018, against the backdrop of continuing regional and domestic uncertainties, strengthening business and household sentiment will be essential for maintaining growth momentum," the OECD said.

Turkey's economy expanded beyond forecasts in the first quarter (5.2 percent) and second quarter (5.1 percent) of this year, according to the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat).

The Turkish economy grew 5.2 percent in 2014, 6.1 percent in 2015 and 2.9 percent last year.

As noted in the country's medium-term economic program announced on Sept. 27, the government is targeting growth of 5.5 percent this year as well as through to 2020.

"Effective progress with the announced structural reforms, fiscal transparency and disinflation goals of the Medium-Term Economic Programme 2018-20 would bolster confidence and boost domestic and foreign private business investment," the organization added.

On Monday, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan said it would not be a surprise if the Turkish economy grew by around seven percent in 2017.

#November 2017
#OECD Economic Outlook
#Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
#Turkey
#Turkish economy
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