Separate Meetings, Shared Goals

Sharif first met the Iranian team, led by Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf and including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, before holding talks with Vance, accompanied by special envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar and Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi joined the meeting with the US side. No official statement was issued about the Iranian meeting. The Iranian delegation arrived in Islamabad before Air Force Two carrying Vance landed.

A Delicate Ceasefire

Pakistan secured a two‑week ceasefire between the warring parties on Wednesday, paving the way for the “Islamabad Talks” – the most significant US‑Iran negotiations since 1979. Nearly 3,000 Iranians have been killed in the conflict, according to Iranian health authorities, while at least 13 US servicemen have also died and dozens have been wounded. The talks are expected to be held in both direct and indirect formats, with the first session scheduled for around 3 pm local time (10:00 GMT).

Scope of Strikes

Data compiled by CBS News indicates that the US and Israel have carried out strikes on more than 13,000 targets across Iran since launching their joint offensive. In response, Iran has hit targets in 12 countries throughout the region. Although a two‑week ceasefire was announced on Tuesday, Israeli strikes have continued in Lebanon, highlighting the fragile nature of the truce.

Regional Context

The conflict, which began on 28 February, has killed thousands, disrupted global energy markets and paralysed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistan, together with Türkiye, China, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, brokered a temporary ceasefire and is hosting direct US‑Iran talks in Islamabad aimed at securing a lasting peace. The heavy loss of Reaper drones underscores the intensity of the aerial war and the effectiveness of Iranian air defences.

A Four‑Point Pitch

Referring to recent reporting, Kerry said Netanyahu made a “four‑point pitch” for military action, arguing that strikes could “kill the leadership,” “incite a change of regime,” and “destroy the military.” Kerry described the reporting as credible and noted that the Israeli premier had presented these arguments in meetings involving senior officials where different views were considered. The US and Israel eventually launched an offensive against Iran on 28 February, killing then‑Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and many other senior political and military leaders.

Ceasefire and Regional Fallout

Tehran retaliated with drone and missile strikes against Israel, Jordan, Iraq and Gulf states hosting US assets, and restricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistan, together with Türkiye, China, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, secured a two‑week ceasefire on Wednesday, exactly 40 days after the war began. As part of the deal, the two sides are meeting in Islamabad on Saturday to negotiate a lasting peace. Kerry’s account underscores how decades of Israeli advocacy finally culminated in a US‑led war that has now killed thousands and destabilised the entire Middle East.

Ceasefire and Broader Agenda

The detainee issue will be part of a broader agenda as the United States and Iran meet face‑to‑face for the first time since the outbreak of war on 28 February. The US and Israel launched their offensive against Iran under the pretext of destroying its nuclear programme. Tehran retaliated with drone and missile strikes against Israel and US assets in the region, while also restricting shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, driving up global energy prices.

Pakistan’s Mediating Role

Pakistan mediated a two‑week ceasefire earlier this week and is hosting the current talks aimed at reaching a permanent end to the conflict. Türkiye, together with China, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, also played a supporting role in brokering the temporary truce. The release of American detainees would be a significant humanitarian gesture and could help build trust between the two sides as they negotiate a lasting peace.

Mediation and Format

The “Islamabad Talks” are being held at an undisclosed location in the heavily fortified capital and may continue for several days. The two sides are expected to engage in both direct and indirect formats. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has described the negotiations as “make‑or‑break to seek a permanent ceasefire.” The US delegation also includes special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. Both delegations are also scheduled to meet separately with Sharif.

Regional Toll

Pakistan secured a two‑week ceasefire on Wednesday, after weeks of fighting that began on 28 February when the US and Israel launched war on Iran. Nearly 3,000 Iranians have been killed, while at least 13 US servicemen have died and dozens have been wounded. The conflict also disrupted the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil‑shipping route.

A Critique of the Status Quo

Harris, who lost to President Donald Trump in 2024 after replacing Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee, has spent the past year travelling the country, including significant time in the South. She stressed that the current status quo “is not working” for many people and has failed them for a long time. Her remarks come after she declined to run for California governor last year, which had fuelled speculation that she was instead eyeing another presidential bid.

A Third Attempt?

Harris previously ran unsuccessfully for the Democratic nomination in 2020 before being chosen as Biden’s running mate. Since her 2024 defeat, she has maintained a relatively low profile, but Friday’s comments suggest she is actively weighing a third run. The 2028 election would be the first in decades without either Biden or Trump on the ballot, opening the field for a new generation of Democratic leaders.

White House Response

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt downplayed the report, saying: “The Wall Street Journal should learn to take a joke, however, the President’s pardon power is absolute.” The Journal noted that Trump has already issued around 1,600 clemency grants during his current term. The report did not specify which officials might be covered or whether any specific legal exposure prompted the discussions.

Political Context

The reported pledge comes as Trump’s second term nears its end and as he has faced numerous legal challenges and investigations over the years. While presidents have broad constitutional authority to grant pardons for federal crimes, mass pardons for unknown or unspecified offenses would be highly unusual. The story adds to the ongoing debate over executive power and accountability, even as the White House dismisses the comments as off‑hand remarks.

Seeking Legitimacy and Scapegoats

Röttgen also suggested that Trump’s ultimatum is designed to build international legitimacy for US‑Israeli airstrikes against Iran. “The second thing he’s looking for, in my view, is allies to bolster the legitimacy of his entire endeavour,” he said. “Because so far, it’s been the US alone bearing the brunt of everything that’s gone wrong, and they stand alone.” Trump has intensified his criticism of NATO, writing on Truth Social that “NATO wasn’t there when we needed them, and they won’t be there if we need them again.”

German Response and Türkiye’s Position

Chancellor Merz confirmed that Germany will not restrict US access to its military bases and warned that disputes over the Iran war should not weaken NATO unity. He said the issue was discussed in a recent phone call with Trump, stressing that there is “no substitute” for NATO as Europe’s security guarantor. Türkiye, a key NATO ally that has consistently advocated for de‑escalation and diplomacy, has urged all parties to avoid actions that could further destabilise the region. Ankara has also emphasised that the security of the Strait of Hormuz is a global responsibility and that any mission should have a clear legal mandate and broad international consensus.

Iran’s New Stance on Strait Management

The US president’s warning came shortly after Iran’s new Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Seyyed Mojtaba Hosseini Khamenei, declared that management of the strait would “certainly enter a new phase” and that Tehran would demand compensation for all war‑related damages. Khamenei stressed that Iran would pursue legal and material accountability for the “criminal aggressors” who attacked the country, and would seek reparations for “the blood of the martyrs and the wounded.”

Talks in Islamabad and a Finger on the Trigger

Iran is preparing for direct negotiations with the United States in Islamabad, expected to begin Saturday under Pakistani mediation. Tehran has stated that the talks aim to finalise details of a potential agreement but do not signal an end to the conflict. Khamenei also warned that Iran remains ready to respond to any renewed aggression. “Our hands are on the trigger,” he said, adding that any mistake by adversaries would be met with a decisive response. For Türkiye, which relies on stable energy flows through the strait, the standoff over passage fees and the broader US‑Iran confrontation carries direct economic and security implications.

Defiant Stance Amid Ongoing Tensions

Trump’s comments came just two days after a two‑week ceasefire was announced between Washington and Tehran, following intense Pakistani‑led mediation. While the temporary pause has reduced hostilities, the strategic Strait of Hormuz remains partially restricted, with Iran still controlling access. The US president accused the Journal’s editorial board of persistent bias and of being “always quick to criticise” while unwilling to admit its own mistakes.

Regional Implications

For energy‑importing countries like Türkiye, the free flow of oil through the Gulf is a matter of strategic importance. Ankara has consistently called for the full reopening of the strait and for all parties to adhere to the ceasefire. As the US and Iran prepare for direct talks in Islamabad this weekend, Trump’s bullish statements may signal Washington’s determination to break the logjam, but they also risk complicating the delicate negotiations needed to turn the temporary truce into lasting peace.

NATO’s Role Under Scrutiny

It remains unclear whether the United States is pushing for a formal NATO mission or simply coordinated national deployments. Major European allies, particularly Germany, have so far been reluctant to send naval forces to the strategic waterway, arguing that Washington and Israel launched their war against Iran without consulting them. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has publicly criticised the lack of a clear exit strategy and stated that Berlin could only help secure navigation after a ceasefire, under an international mandate and with parliamentary approval.

Trump’s Criticism of European Allies

In a Truth Social post following his meeting with Rutte, Trump continued his attack on European allies, writing: “NATO wasn’t there when we needed them, and they won’t be there if we need them again.” White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt told reporters that Trump believes NATO was “tested, and they failed” during the Iran war, adding: “It’s quite sad that NATO turned its back on the American people over the course of the last six weeks when it’s the American people who have been funding their defence.”

Strategic Implications for Türkiye

The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global energy supplies, and any prolonged disruption directly affects Türkiye’s energy security and regional stability. Ankara has consistently advocated for dialogue and de‑escalation, warning that the conflict could have devastating economic consequences for neighbouring countries. As European allies hesitate, Türkiye’s position as a reliable partner in maintaining regional security and ensuring the free flow of energy becomes ever more significant.

Pakistan’s Mediation and Upcoming Islamabad Talks

Pakistan played a decisive role in bridging the two sides. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif announced that both parties have agreed to an immediate ceasefire across all fronts, including Lebanon. He invited Iranian and US delegations to Islamabad for direct negotiations starting Friday, April 10, with the aim of reaching a comprehensive peace agreement. Sharif thanked Türkiye, Egypt, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and China for their supporting roles. The talks will consider Iran’s 10‑point proposal submitted last Monday, which Washington has accepted as a basis for negotiation, alongside a 15‑point US counter‑proposal.

Conflicting Narratives on Hormuz and Victory Claims

A key point of contention remains the Strait of Hormuz. Trump declared the waterway would reopen immediately, framing the ceasefire as a “complete victory” and claiming that Iran had undergone a “very productive regime change.” Tehran’s senior officials, however, insisted that the strait would only open after the ceasefire takes effect, under Iranian security coordination. Despite the ambiguity, maritime observers reported increased tanker traffic through the strait shortly after the truce. The Financial Times also revealed that Washington had quietly lobbied for a ceasefire for weeks, driven by fears of surging oil prices and surprise at Iran’s military resilience—a stark contrast to Trump’s public triumphalism.

Iran’s 10‑Point Proposal and High‑Level Delegations

Iran’s proposal includes an immediate halt to attacks, a tax on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz (reportedly $1 per barrel in cryptocurrency), war reparations from the US and Israel, a comprehensive regional agreement, and the lifting of all international sanctions. In return, Tehran would renounce nuclear weapons and negotiate enrichment levels. Tomorrow’s talks in Islamabad will see Iran represented by Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, while the US will be represented by special envoy Steve Witkoff, Vice‑President JD Vance, and Jared Kushner. Pakistan will coordinate through Prime Minister Sharif and Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir.

Oil Prices and Iranian Resilience Drive the Shift

Trump’s pivot was driven by two uncomfortable realities. First, the war had sent crude prices soaring above $100 a barrel, threatening global recession and American voters’ wallets. Second, Tehran had proved far more resilient than US intelligence had anticipated, withstanding weeks of intensive US‑Israeli strikes that began on 28 February. According to people familiar with the talks, the president had been eager for a ceasefire since at least 21 March, when he first threatened to “obliterate” Iran’s power plants.

Pakistan’s Pivotal Mediation Role

Washington calculated that a Muslim‑majority neighbour with a neutral stance would be better placed to sell a truce to Tehran. The White House turned to Pakistan’s army chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, who became the linchpin of the back‑channel effort. Munir and his team shuttled messages between Iranian political and military figures and top US officials, including Trump, Vice‑President JD Vance and special envoy Steve Witkoff. The deal that finally emerged was a two‑week pause in exchange for Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

A Victory Lap Built on Sand

The ceasefire was announced less than two hours before Trump’s latest deadline for Tehran to accept a deal or face “the destruction of an entire civilisation”. Yet the administration’s public narrative – that Iran had “begged” for a ceasefire and that the outcome was an unconditional military victory – stands in sharp contrast to the behind‑the‑scenes scramble. As the FT notes, the White House was driven less by triumph than by anxiety over oil prices and a resilient regime that had refused to break. The temporary truce may halt the bombing, but it has not resolved the underlying confrontation.

Ceasefire as a strategic window

Erdoğan underlined the need to make full use of this window and warned against any steps that could derail the process. He reiterated that Türkiye will continue to increase its support for diplomatic initiatives carried out with friendly nations, particularly Pakistan, which played a key mediating role. The Turkish president also stressed that all parties should avoid actions that might undermine the fragile truce.

Iran’s 10‑point proposal

The ceasefire followed Tehran’s submission of a “workable” 10‑point proposal to Washington via Pakistani mediation. According to Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, the proposal includes a US commitment to non‑aggression, acceptance of Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz, acknowledgment of uranium enrichment rights, and the lifting of all primary and secondary sanctions. It also demands compensation for Iran, the withdrawal of US combat forces from the region, and an end to hostilities on all fronts, including against Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Lebanon under heavy bombardment

The Israeli army announced that it struck more than 100 sites “within 10 minutes” across Beirut, the Beqaa Valley and southern Lebanon, describing it as the “largest coordinated strike” since the current Lebanon offensive began. The attacks came after Hezbollah carried out cross‑border strikes on March 2, following months of Israeli bombardment that had already violated a November 2024 ceasefire. The escalation on the Lebanese front has occurred in parallel with the US‑Israeli military campaign against Iran that started on February 28, which has killed over 1,400 people, including former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Iran’s warning and Türkiye’s stance

Iran warned earlier Wednesday that Washington must choose between a ceasefire and “continued war via Israel,” saying it cannot have both. An informed source told Iran’s semi‑official Tasnim News Agency that Tehran would withdraw from the truce if Israel continues to violate it through attacks on Lebanon. Türkiye, which welcomed the US‑Iran ceasefire and called for its full implementation on the ground, has consistently urged de‑escalation on all fronts. Ankara has also stressed that Israel’s unlawful policies in the occupied Palestinian territories and its attacks on Lebanon are unacceptable and threaten regional stability.

Disapproval spans party lines

Overall, 65% of Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of gas prices, compared to just 28% who approve—a net negative of 37 points. Among independents, disapproval is even sharper at 72% versus 15% approval. While Republicans remain more supportive overall, the survey points to internal divisions: non-MAGA Republicans are more likely to disapprove than approve, and Republican women show weaker support than Republican men.

Iran war seen as major factor

The survey identifies the US-Israeli war with Iran as a central factor in rising fuel costs, with 71% of respondents citing the conflict as a driver of higher gas prices—more than those who blamed oil companies or political leaders alone. When asked to assign responsibility, 60% said Trump and Republicans in Congress were more to blame than Democrats (16%). The gap widens when the war is explicitly mentioned as a cause. On which party is better equipped to handle gas prices, Americans are narrowly divided: 35% trust Democrats more, 31% favor Trump and Republicans, and more than a quarter trust neither. For Türkiye, which has also seen fuel prices surge due to the same conflict, the poll underscores how wars of choice eventually weigh on domestic pocketbooks—a lesson Ankara has long emphasized in its calls for diplomacy.

Iran’s 10-point plan welcomed

Trump revealed that Tehran had put forward a 10-point proposal that appears to offer a foundation for further negotiations. “They’re very good points, and most of them have been fully negotiated,” he said, adding that he would not characterize Iran’s demands as “maximalist.” The comments suggest a notable shift in tone from the president, who just days earlier had threatened to wipe out Iran’s civilian infrastructure.

Warning of renewed strikes

Despite his optimism, Trump warned that the US is prepared to resume military action if the ceasefire and subsequent negotiations do not hold. “If they are not good, we will go right back to it very easily,” he said. The ceasefire, brokered by Pakistan, has paused a conflict that began with US-Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, killing more than 1,400 people, including former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. For Türkiye, which has consistently called for diplomacy, the ceasefire is a welcome first step. However, Ankara urges all parties to move beyond temporary pauses and work toward a permanent peace that addresses the root causes of the conflict, warning that Trump’s “complete victory” rhetoric may complicate genuine reconciliation.

Draft resolution ‘flawed and one-sided’

Iravani dismissed the vetoed resolution as “flawed — factually, legally and politically” and “entirely one-sided, biased, and indefensible.” He claimed the text distorted ground realities “by falsely attributing responsibility to Iran, the victims of the aggression, while deliberately ignoring the root causes of the current crisis.” He added: “In substance, this was a United States draft introduced under other names.” Iravani expressed appreciation for the vetoes cast by Russia and China, crediting them with ensuring “the Security Council would not be instrumentalized to legitimize aggression.”

Resolution fails despite 11 votes

The draft resolution, which received 11 votes in favor but was blocked by permanent members Russia and China, would have encouraged states to coordinate defensive efforts to ensure safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, including escorting merchant vessels. For Türkiye, which relies heavily on Hormuz for energy imports, the failure to adopt a resolution leaves the strait’s security in limbo. Ankara has consistently called for diplomatic solutions and warned that unilateral military actions or threats of civilian destruction violate international law. As Trump’s deadline looms, Türkiye continues to urge all parties to de-escalate and return to negotiations.

Deadline looms with catastrophic threat

The proposal comes just hours before Trump’s 8 p.m. Eastern Time (0000GMT Wednesday) deadline, after which he has threatened that “a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.” The remarks have been widely condemned internationally as hyperbolic and dangerous. Pakistan has been quietly facilitating indirect negotiations between Washington and Tehran in an effort to end the escalating Middle East conflict.

Türkiye’s role and regional diplomacy

While Pakistan steps into a mediating role, Türkiye has also been actively engaged in diplomatic efforts to end the US-Israeli war on Iran, which has killed more than 1,400 people since February 28. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has held multiple phone calls with regional and Western leaders, urging a ceasefire and a return to diplomacy. Ankara has consistently warned that military escalation will not bring lasting security. Whether Trump accepts Pakistan’s extension proposal remains unclear, but the mere fact of the request underscores the urgency of finding a diplomatic off-ramp.

Energy crisis and regional escalation

The ultimatum comes amid a relentless US-Israeli military campaign against Iran that began on February 28. The offensive has already claimed more than 1,340 lives, including that of former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Iran has retaliated with drone and missile strikes on Israel, Jordan, Iraq, and Gulf states hosting American assets, disrupting global shipping and aviation. For Türkiye, which relies heavily on Gulf oil and gas transiting the Strait of Hormuz, any prolonged closure would trigger immediate price spikes and threaten industrial production. Ankara has maintained open diplomatic channels with both Washington and Tehran, urging dialogue over destruction.

Trump’s regime change rhetoric

In his post, Trump suggested that “different, smarter, and less radicalized minds” now prevail in Iran, leaving room for “something revolutionarily wonderful” to happen. However, he left the outcome uncertain, writing: “We will find out tonight, one of the most important moments in the long and complex history of the World.” Iranian authorities have not yet responded to the latest threat. Meanwhile, Turkish officials are reportedly convening emergency meetings to assess potential fallout, including a possible refugee surge and disruption of overland trade routes through Iran.

Türkiye’s delicate position

As a NATO member with close economic ties to both Russia and Iran, Türkiye has consistently opposed unilateral military action. President Erdoğan has previously offered to mediate between the parties. With the deadline hours away, Turkish diplomatic sources say they are in contact with all sides to prevent what Trump himself calls the death of a “whole civilization.” The coming hours will determine whether the Gulf descends into full-scale war or a last-minute deal spares the region from catastrophic destruction.

Oil deal and potential Iran role

According to Bloomberg News, Budapest is expected to finalize a $500 million crude oil purchase from the United States during Vance’s stay. The agreement would reduce Hungary’s dependence on Russian energy, aligning with Orban’s often-contradictory balancing act between Moscow and the West. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump has suggested that Vance “could be” involved in face-to-face negotiations with Iranian officials in the coming days. Trump, who endorsed Orban on social media as a “strong and powerful” leader, has not ruled out direct talks despite ongoing airstrikes.

Regional fallout and Türkiye’s position

Iran has responded to the US-Israeli offensive with drone and missile attacks targeting Israel as well as Jordan, Iraq, and Gulf states hosting American military assets. Tehran has also restricted maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint through which nearly one-fifth of global oil passes. For Türkiye, which imports most of its crude from Iraq and the Gulf, these restrictions could drive up energy costs and strain supply chains. Turkish diplomatic sources have reiterated that a military escalation benefits no one, calling for an immediate ceasefire and renewed diplomacy. Vance is scheduled to appear alongside Orban at a joint press conference and a “Hungarian-American Friendship Day” rally later today.

As the US-Iran war enters its fifth week, fresh doubts have emerged over Washington’s account of a weekend “successful pilot rescue” inside Iranian territory. The wreckage of a downed F-15E was reportedly found near Natanz, home to Iran’s primary uranium enrichment site. That geographic coincidence, along with the deployment of C-130J aircraft capable of carrying 90 troops for a single injured pilot, has led analysts and Iranian officials to question whether the true objective was a covert uranium heist.

Cover-up claims and failed extraction

According to unconfirmed reports, the operation went badly wrong. At least two C-130J transports made hard landings on an unprepared airstrip and became inoperable. Iranian media and social media footage suggested heavy clashes near Kohgiluyeh province, with explosions and missile fire. Tehran’s Revolutionary Guards rushed reinforcements to the area, allegedly surrounding US units. The Pentagon then reportedly conducted a hasty evacuation using additional cargo planes, while abandoning or destroying damaged aircraft on the ground. Iran later released images of wreckage it claimed belonged to US helicopters and drones, including an MQ-9 Reaper shot down over Isfahan.

Tehran and Washington trade accusations

Iran’s Foreign Ministry stated that “the pilot rescue operation in Isfahan has the possibility of being a deception operation to steal enriched uranium.” Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson told Russia Today that Sunday’s event was a clear “cover-up operation,” alleging that American soldiers had been killed. Meanwhile, the Trump administration has provided no identities or treatment locations for the rescued pilots.

Family crypto deals and market manipulation claims

According to Le Point’s investigation, digital tokens have been launched in the names of Donald and Melania Trump, while his sons Eric and Donald Jr. have reportedly licensed their name rights to a cryptocurrency company for a 30% stake. The magazine also highlighted sudden market fluctuations following Trump’s social media posts and policy announcements, suggesting that a small group with advance knowledge may have profited from insider information. These allegations have revived debates about insider trading at the highest levels of government.

Global real estate and the ‘Trumpification’ of Washington

Le Point further alleged that Trump’s re-election has accelerated real estate projects in Gulf countries, Vietnam, and Romania, arguing that American diplomacy is now serving private commercial interests rather than public good. Experts warn that the US is evolving into a “plutocracy” —rule by the wealthy—where political careers serve as income streams. The magazine also noted a symbolic transformation it calls “the Trumpification of Washington,” where the president’s personal brand merges with state symbols, and power is represented through an aesthetic of gold and wealth. For Türkiye, which has witnessed similar allegations against Western leaders in the past, the Le Point report underscores growing international scrutiny of Trump’s business dealings. Ankara continues to focus on its own anti-corruption efforts and has called for transparency in international financial systems.

Legal loophole leaves Switzerland powerless

Switzerland’s decision to stop paying for the Patriot system proved practically ineffective, as the US simply redirected funds from the F-35 program to cover the cost. The mechanism effectively neutralized Bern’s sovereign policy choice, demonstrating how Washington’s financial and military supply systems can override a purchasing nation’s political decisions. According to the report, the redirected funds were used to supply Patriot air defense missiles to Israel, which has faced severe shortages of air defense interceptors amid its ongoing war with Iran.

Context of Israeli shortages and Türkiye’s position

The diversion comes as Israel struggles with depleted Patriot missile stocks following weeks of intense Iranian drone and missile attacks. Reports have also emerged that a former Volkswagen factory in Germany will now produce missiles for Israel’s Iron Dome system. For Türkiye, which was removed from the F-35 program in 2019 after purchasing Russian S-400 systems, the Swiss case highlights the risks of dependency on US defense procurement systems. Ankara has since accelerated its domestic defense industry, producing indigenous systems such as the Kaan fighter jet, the Hisar and Siper air defense systems, and armed drones that have proven effective in multiple conflicts. Turkish officials have repeatedly warned allies about the dangers of US unilateralism in arms sales.

Iran rejects temporary ceasefire, demands permanent end

Despite Trump’s cautious optimism, Iran swiftly rejected any framework for a temporary ceasefire. According to state news agency IRNA, Tehran instead called for a permanent end to the war, with conditions including a halt to all regional hostilities, a protocol for safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, reconstruction assistance, and comprehensive sanctions relief. The wide gap between the two sides’ positions suggests that a diplomatic breakthrough remains distant, keeping oil markets on high alert.

Hormuz disruptions tighten global supply

Oil prices remain highly sensitive to developments around the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20-25% of global oil trade passes. Disruptions to shipping in the strait have already tightened physical supply, and any further escalation—or failure to reach a durable ceasefire—could push prices significantly higher. For Türkiye, a net energy importer that relies heavily on crude and LNG transiting the Gulf, sustained high oil prices risk widening the current account deficit and fueling domestic inflation. Ankara continues to urge all parties to prioritize diplomacy and warns that prolonged market instability will harm emerging economies most.

Rescue missions and media leak controversy

Trump also disclosed dramatic details about the recovery of two downed F-15 crew members from inside Iran. He said a second rescue mission involved 155 aircraft, including four bombers, 64 fighters, and 48 refueling tankers. CIA Director John Ratcliffe said the agency executed a “deception campaign to confuse the Iranians” while using classified assets to locate the airmen in a remote mountain crevice. Trump described the operation as a high-stakes gamble, noting that two large extraction aircraft got stuck in wet sand and had to be destroyed on the ground to prevent Iranian capture of sensitive technology. The president also threatened to pursue a journalist who leaked information about a missing pilot, accusing the media outlet of endangering the rescue by triggering a nationwide Iranian manhunt.

Tolls in Hormuz, NATO criticism, and Türkiye’s position

Trump declared that the US, as the victor, intends to charge tolls on the Strait of Hormuz. “Why shouldn’t we? We’re the winner. We won,” he said. He also expressed frustration with NATO’s refusal to help secure the strait, calling it “a mark on NATO that will never disappear.” Trump advised Kurdish forces to “stay away” from Iran ahead of a major escalation. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth added that Monday would see “the largest volume of strikes in Iran since day one,” with even more planned for Tuesday. Since the US-Israeli offensive began on February 28, more than 1,340 people have been killed in Iran, including former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. For Türkiye, which borders Iran and has consistently called for de-escalation, Trump’s threats of total national destruction and plans to unilaterally control Hormuz represent a dangerous shift toward unchecked military action. Ankara continues to urge all parties to return to diplomacy, warning that talk of “eliminating” a nation sets a catastrophic precedent.

Diplomatic engagement in Ankara

Sources from the Turkish Foreign Ministry confirmed that the talks took place in Ankara but did not provide further details on the agenda. The meeting is seen as part of regular high-level contacts between the two countries, which continue to coordinate on a range of diplomatic and security issues.

Focus on regional developments

Although no official statement was released, discussions are expected to have touched on key regional files, particularly Syria, where both Türkiye and the United States maintain significant involvement. Ankara has consistently emphasized its priorities regarding border security, counterterrorism efforts and stability in northern Syria.

Strategic ties between Türkiye and US

The اللقاء highlights ongoing cooperation between Türkiye and the US as NATO allies, despite periodic disagreements on regional policies. Diplomatic channels between the two sides remain active, especially at a time of heightened geopolitical tensions across the Middle East.

Trump describes ‘lucky’ strike and rescue delay

President Donald Trump told Axios that the F-15 was brought down by a shoulder-fired missile in what he described as a “lucky” strike by Iranian forces. Trump revealed that the rescue of one crew member was initially delayed because officials feared his radio transmission might be an Iranian trap. The concern deepened when the downed airman transmitted an unusual message. Trump said the officer had said, “Power be to God”—though US officials later clarified the exact phrase was “God is good.” Trump admitted the transmission “sounded like something a Muslim would say,” but those who knew the officer confirmed he was a religious person, allowing the rescue to proceed. Approximately 200 special operations soldiers participated in the mission.

Wider conflict and Türkiye’s position

The downing and subsequent rescue operation underscore the high-risk nature of US military operations inside Iranian territory since the joint US-Israeli air offensive began on February 28. More than 1,340 people have been killed, including former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Iran has retaliated with drone and missile strikes across the region, disrupting global markets and aviation. For Türkiye, which shares a border with Iran and has long warned against escalation, the incident highlights how quickly tactical events can spiral into broader confrontation. Ankara continues to urge all parties to exercise restraint and prioritize diplomatic channels over military solutions.

‘Weaponizing religious language’

CAIR said Trump’s threats to attack civilian infrastructure were “reckless, dangerous” and reflected “indifference to human life and contempt for religious beliefs.” The group argued that using the phrase “Praise be to Allah” alongside violent threats demonstrated a “willingness to weaponize religious language while simultaneously denigrating Islam.” The organization urged lawmakers not to remain on recess while the president “openly promises to commit war crimes,” stressing that Congress has a constitutional duty to reassert its authority over matters of war and peace.

Pattern of anti-Muslim rhetoric

“These statements are not made in a vacuum,” CAIR said. “They follow a long pattern of anti-Muslim rhetoric and policies that have dehumanized Muslims at home and abroad.” For Türkiye, a predominantly Muslim nation and a key NATO ally, Trump’s language raises concerns about rising Islamophobia in Western political discourse. Ankara has consistently called for respect toward all religious beliefs and has urged world leaders to avoid inflammatory rhetoric that could further inflame tensions. As the US-Israeli war on Iran continues into its sixth week, Türkiye continues to advocate for diplomacy and an immediate ceasefire, warning that language which mocks or targets religious communities only deepens divisions and hinders peace efforts.

Rebuilding Alcatraz into modern facility

The budget request includes funding to rebuild Alcatraz into a modern high-security prison, covering initial costs. Alcatraz, which was closed in the 1960s due to high operating costs, later became a tourist site but may now be rebuilt as a modern high-security prison. Initial funding has been proposed, though California politicians are skeptical over the costs and feasibility.

Pelosi: Plan is 'absurd'

Former House speaker Nancy Pelosi called the plan "absurd," stating that rebuilding Alcatraz would waste taxpayer money and insult the public's intelligence. The site currently generates about $60 million in annual revenue as a tourist attraction, according to the National Park Service. The request will need to be approved by the US Congress.

Mission details and communication after ejection

One US official stated that the mission was carried out by an elite commando team backed by extensive air support, and that all American personnel involved have exited Iran. Two sources said the pilot and the weapons systems officer were able to communicate after ejecting from the aircraft. The pilot was recovered within hours of the jet being shot down, while the second crew member was not found and rescued until more than a day later.

US forces deployed inside Iran on Friday and Saturday

US special forces were deployed inside Iran on Friday and again on Saturday as part of the search-and-rescue effort. After the second crew member was located on Saturday, US forces launched an operation to extract him while IRGC units were also moving into the area, apparently to stop the mission. Sources said US Air Force aircraft struck Iranian forces to prevent them from reaching the site.

Stranded transport planes destroyed

The New York Times reported that after the weapons officer was rescued, two transport planes meant to evacuate the commandos and airmen became stranded at a remote base in Iran. In response, commanders sent three replacement aircraft to bring everyone out and destroyed the disabled planes to keep them from falling into Iranian hands. US president Donald Trump and senior members of his administration monitored the mission from the White House situation room.

Iranian strike hit US helicopter during pilot rescue

During the operation to rescue the pilot on Friday, an Iranian strike hit a US Black Hawk helicopter involved in the mission. Although several personnel aboard were injured, the helicopter was able to continue flying.

The inspection report, which was made public this week, identified a total of 49 deficiencies at Camp East Montana during a three-day federal review. Among these, 22 violations were categorized under "use of force and restraints" and included failures to document incidents, provide medical examinations after physical altercations, and properly record events on video surveillance.

Detainees report no abuse despite violations

Despite the documented safety lapses, the report noted that none of the 49 detainees randomly selected for interviews by federal inspectors made any allegations of discrimination, mistreatment, or abuse. The facility, which opened in 2025, has been the subject of scrutiny from lawmakers and immigrant advocacy groups amid the Trump administration's intensified crackdown on illegal immigration.

DHS responds with new contractor, oversight

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS), which oversees ICE, announced that the agency has recently hired a new contractor to manage the Texas facility. DHS officials stated that the agency is "always looking at ways to improve our detention facilities to ensure we are providing the best care to illegal aliens in our custody." The new contract, officials said, will allow Camp East Montana to maintain high detention standards while providing more on-site medical care, additional staff, and a precise quality assurance surveillance plan.

Three deaths at facility amid ongoing concerns

The federal inspection comes amid heightened concerns over conditions at the $1.2 billion facility, where three detainees have died. Among them was a Cuban immigrant whose death was ruled a homicide by the local medical examiner. DHS officials said the agency is actively working to address and rectify the identified problems to ensure the safe and humane treatment of all detainees. "ICE will continue to ensure that all of the detainees in our custody receive the level of care, service, and medical support they need to match our high detention standards," department officials added.

Travel restrictions violated

The report noted that at least two other Iranian diplomats at the UN mission had been expelled in the two months prior to Aghajani’s departure. In September, US authorities restricted Iranian diplomats’ travel to a 25-mile radius around central Manhattan, and at least one of the expelled diplomats had violated those limits multiple times. A US official said Aghajani’s children, who remained in New York after his departure, were also asked to leave the country in February. No specific allegations against Aghajani were made public.

Background and Türkiye’s position

A State Department official confirmed that a Note Verbale was delivered on December 4 regarding the status of certain Iranian personnel at the UN but declined to comment on specifics, citing privacy and security reasons. The official added that the move took place “well before the protests in Iran” and was unrelated to those events. For Türkiye, which hosts a large diplomatic community and often finds itself navigating US-Iran tensions, the quiet expulsion underscores Washington’s continued scrutiny of Iranian diplomatic activities even amid the broader military conflict. Ankara continues to advocate for diplomatic channels to remain open, warning that such expulsions, while legal, can further erode communication between adversaries.

Pattern of false claims

The exchange marks the latest episode of information warfare between Washington and Tehran, as the two sides remain locked in a devastating military confrontation. The IRGC has previously made similar assertions of downing US aircraft, none of which have been verified by independent sources. The Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% of global oil passes, has become a flashpoint since the US-Israeli air offensive against Iran began on February 28.

Wider conflict and casualties

That campaign has killed more than 1,340 people, including Iran’s former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Iran has retaliated with drone and missile strikes targeting Israel, Jordan, Iraq, and Gulf states hosting US military assets, causing infrastructure damage and disrupting global markets and aviation. A total of 13 US service members have been killed and about 303 others injured since the operation began. For Türkiye, which maintains close ties with both Washington and Tehran while advocating for regional de-escalation, such false claims risk inflaming tensions and complicating diplomatic efforts to end the war. Ankara continues to call for verified reporting and a return to dialogue.

Background on General George

General George previously served as senior military assistant to former Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin during the Biden administration from 2021 to 2022. His departure, if confirmed, would mark another leadership change at the Pentagon as the Trump administration reshapes military command structures amid ongoing US military operations, including the air offensive against Iran. The Pentagon has not yet issued an official statement on the matter.

Türkiye’s perspective

For Türkiye, a NATO ally with close military cooperation ties to the United States, leadership changes within the US Army command structure are watched closely. Ankara maintains regular military-to-military dialogue with Washington on issues ranging from counterterrorism to regional stability in the Middle East and the Black Sea. Any shift in US Army leadership could influence defense planning and operational coordination between the two allies, particularly as the Iran conflict continues to reshape security dynamics across the region.

Scope and technology on display

Running from late April through May 2026, the exercises will take place in eight European countries, including Germany, Poland, Finland, Estonia, and Lithuania. Approximately 6,000 US troops and 9,500 allied personnel will participate, deploying more than 1,000 pieces of military equipment ranging from drones to Patriot missile systems. Forces will test advanced technologies such as AI-enabled command and control, multi-domain operations, and counter-drone systems—capabilities that are becoming increasingly relevant as conflicts around the world, including the US-Israeli war on Iran, highlight the importance of integrated air and missile defense.

Rebranding from DEFENDER to Sword 26

The exercise was previously known as DEFENDER, an acronym for Dynamic Employment of Forces to Europe for NATO Deterrence and Enhanced Readiness. Officials said the name change reflects a strategic shift away from large-scale troop deployments from the US to Europe and toward the employment of forces already in-theater. The goal is to validate NATO’s regional defense plans and advance the alliance’s Eastern Flank Deterrence Initiative. For Türkiye, a key NATO member controlling strategic waterways and hosting critical alliance assets, these exercises reaffirm the bloc’s focus on collective defense even as the Middle East crisis demands attention. Ankara continues to balance its NATO commitments with its active diplomatic role in seeking an end to the Iran war.

Rubio’s 2023 bill now gains new relevance

Schumer expressed gratitude to Secretary of State Marco Rubio for having sponsored a 2023 bill that requires a two-thirds Senate supermajority to approve any NATO withdrawal. Rubio had written at the time: “No US President should be able to withdraw from NATO without Senate approval.” Speaking on television this week, Rubio acknowledged that he once viewed NATO as offering “great value” by allowing the US to “project power” globally. However, he now describes the alliance as a “one-way street,” citing European hesitation to back US military actions against Iran.

Trump calls NATO allies ‘cowards’ and ‘paper tiger’

President Trump has grown increasingly vocal in his criticism of NATO members, particularly after several European leaders refused to send naval vessels to protect oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. In an interview with The Telegraph, Trump said: “I was never swayed by NATO. I always knew they were a paper tiger, and Putin knows that too.” He has also reportedly called alliance members “cowards.” For Türkiye, a long-standing NATO member with critical control over the Bosporus and a key role in regional security, any US withdrawal would fundamentally reshape the alliance’s southern flank and Ankara’s own defense calculations.

Casualties and regional escalation

The US-Israeli joint air campaign against Iran, launched on February 28, has so far killed more than 1,340 people, including Iran’s former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Trump also acknowledged that 13 American service members have died and around 303 have been injured since the operation began. He urged the nation to honor their sacrifice by completing the mission. In response, Tehran has carried out drone and missile strikes against Israel and Gulf nations hosting US military assets—a widening conflict that Türkiye continues to monitor with concern for regional stability.

Threats to Iran’s energy grid and Hormuz warning

Trump revealed that the US has deliberately avoided targeting Iranian oil fields, calling them “the easiest target of all,” but warned that if diplomatic efforts fail, “each and every one of their electric generating plants” will be struck “very hard, and probably simultaneously.” Turning to the Strait of Hormuz, Trump noted that America imports almost no oil through the waterway and will not need it in the future. He suggested other nations reliant on the strait should “protect it, use it for yourselves,” adding that Iran has been “essentially decimated” militarily and economically.

Ongoing talks and Türkiye’s position

Despite the aggressive posture, Trump confirmed that discussions with Tehran remain “ongoing.” As the conflict enters a critical phase, Ankara has repeatedly called for restraint and a diplomatic solution, warning that further escalation could destabilize the entire Gulf region. Trump predicted that once the conflict ends, the Strait of Hormuz “will open up naturally.”

Tehran denies ceasefire request

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei rejected Trump’s assertion, stating that the claim does not reflect reality. Reports from Axios, citing three US officials, indicated that discussions are underway about a potential ceasefire in exchange for reopening the strategic waterway. Officials noted that Trump is actively exploring the possibility with figures inside and outside his administration, though they cautioned that a deal remains uncertain. It was not specified whether talks are direct or through mediators such as Pakistan.

Trump praises new Iranian leadership

Trump has repeatedly characterized Iran’s new leadership as “much more reasonable” than previous administrations, telling NBC News earlier this week that the war was “coming to an end” and that the US had achieved “total regime change.” He also disclosed that Washington is in contact with Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has previously said contacts with the US do not constitute negotiations but are limited to message exchanges, either directly or through regional intermediaries.

Aircraft losses mount

Among the most significant losses was an E-3G Sentry AWACS aircraft, valued at roughly $500 million, destroyed in an Iranian strike on Saudi Arabia’s Prince Sultan Air Base on March 27. Visual evidence confirmed the aircraft was beyond recovery. In the same attack, three KC-135 Stratotanker refueling aircraft—each with a replacement cost of approximately $320 million when adjusted for inflation—were also destroyed. A fourth KC-135 crashed separately in western Iraq, killing all six crew members.

Fifteen MQ-9 Reaper drones have been lost, with a combined value of about $450 million. Other aircraft losses include three F-15E Strike Eagle fighters destroyed in a friendly-fire incident involving Kuwaiti air defenses, an F-35 forced into an emergency landing, and a UH-60M Black Hawk helicopter struck by FPV drones at a former US base in Iraq.

Radar and defense systems heavily damaged

The most expensive losses involved radar components. Four AN/TPY-2 radars belonging to THAAD systems in the United Arab Emirates, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia—valued at an estimated $2 billion—were damaged. An AN/FPS-132 early warning radar at Qatar’s Al-Udeid Air Base, worth approximately $1.1 billion, was struck by an Iranian missile on Feb. 28.

Additional losses include an AN/MPQ-64 Sentinel radar in Iraq, two satellite communications terminals at the US Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain, three destroyed radomes at Camp Arifjan in Kuwait, and a Saab Giraffe 1X radar system at the US Embassy compound in Baghdad. Together, these losses bring the estimated total for the first month of operations to $4.83 billion.

Rubio questions alliance’s purpose

Rubio, who described himself as a longtime defender of NATO, criticized allies for denying US requests to use military bases during the campaign against Iran. “We’re not asking them to conduct airstrikes. When we need them to allow us to use their military bases, their answer is ‘No.’ Then why are we in NATO?” he said. He warned the alliance was at risk of becoming “a one-way street,” questioning the purpose of stationing American forces in Europe if bases cannot be accessed when needed.

European allies restrict support amid legal concerns

Rubio’s remarks follow a series of refusals from European NATO members regarding the US-led campaign. Italy recently rejected a US request for aircraft to land at a military base in Sicily, while Spain has declined to authorize the use of its bases or airspace for operations tied to the conflict. The United Kingdom, France, and Germany have limited their involvement to defensive support for regional partners and have repeatedly called for de-escalation, citing concerns over the war’s legality and a lack of consultation within the alliance.

Kidnapping sparks manhunt in Iraqi capital

The journalist was identified by media reports as Shelly Kittleson, a US national who contributes to multiple international news outlets. Iraqi security forces pursued a vehicle used by the abductors; the car overturned during the chase, leading to one arrest. Authorities continue to search for other suspects involved in the kidnapping, with efforts ongoing to locate Kittleson. Iraq’s Interior Ministry has not disclosed a motive for the abduction.

Travel advisory issued as regional tensions mount

The incident comes amid heightened security in Iraq following the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran that began Feb. 28. The State Department reiterated its Level 4 Travel Advisory for Iraq—the highest designation—urging all American citizens, including journalists, to avoid travel to the country and to leave immediately if already present.

Trump claims military objectives met

When asked about the timeline for ending the conflict, Trump replied: “All I have to do is leave Iran, and we’ll be doing that very soon. Maybe two weeks, maybe three.” He also asserted that US strikes had significantly weakened Iran’s military infrastructure, estimating it could take “15 to 20 years” for Tehran to recover. Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, he suggested European nations would need to manage their own security for energy shipments, saying: “We’ll be leaving very soon, and if France or some other country wants to get oil or gas, they’ll go up through the Strait. They’ll be able to fend for themselves.”

Conflict exacts heavy toll across region

The US and Israel have conducted airstrikes against Iranian targets since late February, with Iranian authorities reporting more than 1,340 fatalities. Tehran has responded with drone and missile attacks targeting Israel, Jordan, Iraq, and Gulf states hosting American military assets. At least 13 US service members have been killed since hostilities began, according to official figures. The conflict has disrupted global energy markets and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for a significant portion of the world’s oil supply.

Unannounced Visit to CENTCOM

Hegseth confirmed that he spent “about half the day” on the ground within the US Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility, where troops are carrying out Operation Epic Fury. The visit, he explained, was intended to assess the situation firsthand as Washington continues its coordinated campaign with Israel against Iranian targets. He emphasized that the trip’s details were kept confidential for operational security reasons.

Escalating American Firepower

The defense secretary highlighted the intensity of recent US military actions, revealing that on Monday night alone, American forces conducted 200 dynamic strikes. “American firepower is only increasing. Iran’s is decreasing. We have more and more options,” Hegseth told reporters. He added a direct message to Tehran: “If Iran is wise, they will cut a deal.”

Regional Implications for Türkiye

The escalating conflict in Iran’s vicinity carries significant implications for Türkiye, which shares borders with both Iran and Iraq—where US assets are also stationed. Ankara has consistently called for restraint and stability in the region, warning that prolonged military engagement risks further destabilizing an already volatile neighborhood. As operations intensify, Türkiye continues to monitor developments closely, prioritizing its own border security and regional influence.

Allegations of Abandonment

The president accused those countries of failing to stand by Washington throughout the conflict, stating: “You’ll have to start learning how to fight for yourself, the U.S.A. won’t be there to help you anymore.” He also asserted that Iran has been “essentially, decimated,” adding, “The hard part is done. Go get your own oil.”

Separate Rebuke for France

In a distinct post, Trump took aim at France for what he called being “VERY UNHELPFUL” following the airstrikes that killed Iran’s then‑Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on February 28. “The Country of France wouldn’t let planes headed to Israel, loaded up with military supplies, fly over French territory. … The U.S.A. will REMEMBER,” he warned.

Regional Fallout and Rising Casualties

The US‑Israeli strikes on Iran have so far resulted in over 1,340 fatalities. Tehran has responded with drone and missile attacks targeting Israel as well as Jordan, Iraq, and Gulf nations hosting American military assets. The retaliatory strikes have caused infrastructure damage and casualties while disrupting global aviation and energy markets—developments that further underscore the fragility of stability in a region critical to Türkiye’s security and economic interests.

NPT authority undermined

Mao emphasized that China firmly opposes the strikes and advocates for a peaceful settlement of the Iranian nuclear issue through dialogue and diplomacy. The US and Israel have targeted key nuclear-related sites in Ardakan, Bushehr, and Khondab since launching their offensive on February 28. The International Atomic Energy Agency confirmed Sunday that the heavy water production plant in Khondab has suffered “severe damage” and is “no longer operational.” Beijing also expressed deep regret over damage to Iranian cultural relics and historical sites during the conflict.

China-Pakistan coordination

Following a meeting between Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and his Pakistani counterpart Ishaq Dar in Beijing, Mao said both sides are expected to step up coordination on Iran and other regional issues. Pakistan has been leading diplomatic efforts to de‑escalate the Middle East crisis by relaying messages between Washington and Tehran. China confirmed that three of its vessels have safely passed through the Strait of Hormuz and thanked “relevant parties” for facilitating their transit. Mao called for “an early and peaceful ceasefire” and a stable Persian Gulf.

Türkiye’s principled stance

Ankara has consistently opposed any military action against civilian nuclear infrastructure, aligning with China’s call for restraint and diplomacy. Türkiye views the attacks on Iranian nuclear sites as a dangerous escalation that undermines international law and regional stability. Turkish officials have urged the US and Israel to immediately cease hostilities and return to the negotiating table, warning that further strikes on nuclear facilities could trigger irreversible consequences. As a NATO member with unique dialogue channels with both Washington and Tehran, Türkiye continues to offer its good offices to facilitate a peaceful resolution to the conflict.

One month into the US‑Israeli war on Iran, President Donald Trump’s statements have been repeatedly contradicted by media reports, experts, and even his own administration. During his first term, Trump made over 30,000 false or misleading claims. That pattern has continued throughout the Iran conflict, with speculative statements apparently aimed at manipulating energy markets and public opinion. Yet as the war widens, many observers now ignore Trump’s words and focus on ground developments.

Claims made since 2025 strikes and throughout 2026 have frequently been challenged by international observers, intelligence reports, and media outlets. As the conflict widens across the Middle East, Trump’s rhetoric appears to have diminishing influence on markets and public perception.

A school massacre blamed on Iran

Perhaps the most egregious falsehood involves the February 28 attack on a school in Minab that killed nearly 180 children. Trump publicly blamed Iran for the atrocity. However, US media reported strong evidence that the attack was carried out by American forces using Tomahawk cruise missiles with a “double‑tap” tactic. The Pentagon admitted the possibility and launched an investigation. The contradiction remains unresolved.

Nuclear claims and military realities

Trump repeatedly asserted that Iran’s nuclear program had been “completely destroyed” in mid-2025. However, assessments by international nuclear watchdogs indicated that while facilities suffered significant damage, the program remained intact. At the same time, Trump’s characterization of the war as a “limited operation” contrasts sharply with realities on the ground, where tens of thousands of US troops, naval assets, and air power have been deployed. Iran's continued missile and drone attacks further underscore the scale of the conflict.

Contradictions on decision-making and intelligence

The US president has insisted that the decision to strike Iran was made independently. Yet reports in US and Israeli media suggest that Israeli leadership played a key role in shaping Washington’s approach. Intelligence disagreements within the US administration have also surfaced, with some officials reportedly questioning the strategic basis for escalation. Claims linking Iran to the 2000 USS Cole attack have likewise been dismissed by established investigations attributing the incident to al-Qaeda.

Disputed threats and strategic narratives

Trump warned that Iran was weeks away from acquiring nuclear weapons and developing intercontinental missiles capable of striking the US mainland. Experts and intelligence agencies, however, have consistently assessed that such capabilities remain years away. Similarly, allegations of Iranian interference in US elections have not been substantiated with concrete evidence, raising questions about their political context.

Economic signals and market reactions

Statements aimed at influencing global energy prices and financial markets have also lost traction. A recent claim that the war could end within hours failed to trigger the expected market response. Analysts point to growing skepticism among investors, particularly as US military stockpiles—especially precision-guided munitions and air defense systems—face replenishment challenges that could take years to resolve.

Controversial incidents and accountability

One of the most contentious developments involved a deadly strike on a school in Minab in February 2026. While Trump blamed Iran, subsequent reports and preliminary Pentagon findings suggested the possibility of US involvement. The incident intensified debates over transparency and accountability in the conduct of the war.

Regional escalation and shifting positions

Despite earlier statements downplaying the likelihood of retaliation, Iran has targeted US-linked assets and regional partners in the Gulf. Trump’s stance has also shifted between threats of overwhelming force and claims of ongoing negotiations, which Iranian officials publicly denied. Meanwhile, US calls for allied support—particularly through NATO—contrast with earlier assertions that Washington could act alone.

Energy strategy and long-term presence

In a notable shift, Trump openly highlighted Iran’s oil resources as a strategic objective, by pointing especially to Kharg Island, which handles the majority of Iran’s oil exports. His remarks suggested that any operation could involve a prolonged US presence, raising concerns about a potential long-term occupation scenario similar to past interventions.

Ongoing conflict and regional impact

As fighting continues, reports of explosions in Tehran and the downing of US drones by Iranian forces point to sustained military engagement. The war’s trajectory indicates a risk of broader regional destabilization, with implications for energy security, global markets, and geopolitical alignments—including for Türkiye, which closely monitors developments given its strategic location.

Negotiation claims and regime change rhetoric

Trump has oscillated wildly between threatening to destroy Iran’s electrical infrastructure within 48 hours and claiming “very good and productive” talks with Tehran. Iranian officials—including the parliamentary speaker, vice president, and foreign minister—publicly denied any such negotiations. Trump also declared that “total regime change” has occurred in Iran, asserting that the new leadership is “much more reasonable,” while suggesting that Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is gravely wounded. These claims have not been independently verified.

Oil, territory, and endless contradictions

In an interview with the Financial Times, Trump openly stated his desire to “take Iran’s oil,” specifically targeting Kharg Island, through which 90 percent of Iranian oil exports pass. He acknowledged that such an operation would require a prolonged US presence—effectively an invasion. Meanwhile, he claimed the US has “unlimited” weapons stocks, though defense analysts note that production lags behind consumption and replenishment could take years. He also asserted that Iran’s retaliatory strikes on Gulf countries were unforeseen, despite prior Iranian warnings that US bases and assets in the region would be targeted in case of war.

Türkiye’s consistent call for truth and diplomacy

As contradictory narratives from Washington confuse global markets and public opinion, Türkiye has maintained a principled stance based on facts and international law. Ankara has repeatedly called for an immediate ceasefire and warned that Trump’s shifting justifications—from “short operation” to regional war—only deepen the crisis. Turkish officials emphasize that diplomatic solutions require honesty and consistency, not manipulation. While the US president’s claims continue to unravel, Türkiye remains a reliable voice for de‑escalation, urging all parties to return to dialogue and respect the sovereignty of regional nations.

A changed leadership landscape

Trump characterized the ongoing conflict as having produced a total regime change in Tehran. “The regimes of the past are gone and we’re dealing with a whole new set of people,” he said, describing the new Iranian leadership as considerably more reasonable than their predecessors. Regarding Iran’s new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei—son of the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei—Trump noted that he has not been seen publicly and is believed to be gravely wounded, though likely still alive.

Response to Iranian strikes

When asked about recent Iranian attacks on regional infrastructure, including strikes in Kuwait and the Israeli port city of Haifa, Trump indicated that the US response would be seen shortly. His remarks come as diplomatic efforts to end the conflict continue, with Pakistan offering to host US-Iran talks and Türkiye maintaining active mediation channels.

Türkiye’s consistent diplomatic push

Ankara has welcomed any move toward dialogue between Washington and Tehran. Turkish officials have repeatedly emphasized that only direct negotiations can halt the cycle of retaliation that has devastated the region. As the US and Iran explore possible engagement, Türkiye remains ready to facilitate further talks, leveraging its unique position as a trusted intermediary with both capitals.

Security measures acknowledged

“We want worshipers to be able to access these holy sites,” Leavitt said, noting that security remains a priority. She added that Israeli authorities are working on security arrangements to reopen the sites throughout Holy Week, a step Washington appreciates. The comments followed Israeli police measures that temporarily restricted entry to key Christian sites, including the Church of the Holy Sepulchre, where access for Palm Sunday services was briefly blocked.

Silence on Al-Aqsa closure

While the White House and State Department have addressed restrictions affecting Christian holy sites, neither has publicly commented on the closure of Al-Aqsa Mosque, which has been sealed for approximately one month. Palestinian officials have described the measure as unprecedented since 1967, linking it to heightened tensions following the onset of the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran on Feb. 28. The mosque’s closure has drawn sharp criticism from Muslim-majority nations, though no official reaction has emerged from Washington.

Divergence between public rhetoric and private communication

“What is said publicly is, of course, much different than what’s being communicated to us privately,” Leavitt said, adding that any private assurances from Tehran would be subject to verification. She emphasized that President Donald Trump has outlined the military repercussions Iran would face if its private commitments do not align with its actions.

Military timeline remains in place

Leavitt also confirmed that the ongoing military campaign against Iran—launched jointly with Israel on Feb. 28—will persist until US objectives are met. The Pentagon’s previously announced four-to six-week operational timeline, disclosed on March 15, remains unchanged. Washington has signaled that operations could conclude within weeks if strategic goals are achieved, while diplomatic channels via intermediaries stay open.

US proposal rejected by Tehran

A US framework conveyed through Pakistan calls on Iran to curtail its nuclear and ballistic missile development while limiting its influence over key maritime chokepoints, including the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran has publicly rejected the terms, characterizing them as designed to serve American and Israeli interests, though indirect communication channels remain active.

A calculated move to avoid escalation

The decision to allow the tanker through comes amid heightened US military operations against Iran and signals a reluctance to provoke a direct confrontation with Moscow. Officials have offered no explanation for the policy shift, nor have they indicated whether future Russian shipments will be permitted. The blockade had already caused daily blackouts, severe fuel shortages, and deteriorating medical conditions across Cuba, drawing criticism from the United Nations, which blamed Washington for creating a humanitarian crisis.

Washington’s mixed signals

President Donald Trump has recently suggested that Cuba would be “next” after the Iran war, hinting at potential military action and stating his desire to “take” the island. Secretary of State Marco Rubio echoed calls for regime change, insisting Cuba’s economy cannot improve without a change in government. Cuban officials have responded by placing their military on alert, warning they are prepared to defend against any aggression while expressing hope that conflict can be avoided.

Türkiye’s consistent stance on sovereignty

As Washington wields economic blockades and threatens military intervention, Türkiye has maintained its principled position against unilateral coercive measures. Ankara has repeatedly called for respect for national sovereignty and adherence to international law, warning that economic sieges harm civilian populations and destabilize regions. Turkish officials have emphasized that dialogue and diplomacy—not blockades or threats—are the only sustainable paths to resolving international disputes, a principle Türkiye upholds across conflicts from the Middle East to the Caribbean.

‘Next’ after Iran

Trump characterized Cuba as “a mess” and “a failing country,” predicting its collapse “within a short period of time.” He added: “And we will be there to help it out. We’ll be there to help our great Cuban Americans out.” The president’s comments come as the US-Israel war on Iran approaches its one-month mark, with American forces continuing airstrikes that have reportedly claimed over 1,300 lives.

Historical context and uncertainty

Trump did not specify what form potential US involvement in Cuba might take, nor did he provide a timeline for the predicted collapse. His remarks echo longstanding US policy tensions with the island nation, which has been under American sanctions for decades. The statement also reflects a broader pattern of the administration’s assertive posture following military action in the Middle East.

Türkiye’s principle of non-interference

As Washington signals potential further military or political intervention abroad, Türkiye continues to uphold its longstanding principle of non-interference in the internal affairs of sovereign nations. Ankara has consistently advocated for diplomatic solutions to international disputes and has emphasized respect for territorial integrity as a cornerstone of its foreign policy. Turkish officials have expressed concern over escalating confrontations and have called for restraint, warning that military interventions often produce unintended consequences that destabilize entire regions.

A pattern of escalation

The announcement comes as the US-Israel war on Iran nears the one-month mark since hostilities began on February 28. The joint air offensive has so far claimed over 1,300 lives, including Iran’s then‑supreme leader. Tehran has responded with waves of drone and missile strikes targeting Israel, Jordan, Iraq, and Gulf states hosting American military assets, causing infrastructure damage and severe disruptions to global energy markets and aviation.

Diplomatic efforts continue

Despite the ongoing strikes, diplomatic channels remain active. Türkiye, Pakistan, and Egypt have been leading efforts to bring the warring parties to the negotiating table, with Pakistan recently offering to host US-Iran talks in Islamabad. Ankara has consistently called for de-escalation and has maintained open lines of communication with both Washington and Tehran throughout the conflict. Turkish officials have warned that continued military escalation will only deepen the humanitarian toll and further destabilize the region.

Airspace alert triggers emergency response

According to aviation reports, airport operations were temporarily suspended after an object believed to be a drone was detected close to restricted airspace during the presidential departure. Helicopters were deployed to monitor the situation, and flights were placed on hold as a precaution. A commercial airline pilot informed passengers mid-flight that authorities were responding to a possible drone presence near the airport.

Officials dispute drone violation claims

However, the US Secret Service later rejected claims that an unauthorized drone had entered restricted airspace. Spokesman Anthony Guglielmi stated that the helicopter activity observed was part of an approved operation and not linked to any security breach. “At no point was there any risk to AF1 or the President's safety,” he said, referring to Air Force One.

Separate aircraft interception reported

In a separate development, the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) confirmed that F-16 fighter jets intercepted a civilian aircraft that violated temporary flight restrictions over Palm Beach around 1:15 p.m. local time. The aircraft was escorted safely out of the restricted zone, with fighter jets deploying flares to signal the pilot. Officials emphasized that the flares posed no danger to people on the ground.

It remains unclear whether the reported drone sighting and the intercepted aircraft were part of the same incident or unrelated events. The Federal Aviation Administration and the Secret Service have not issued a comprehensive statement clarifying the situation.

Heightened security around presidential travel

Air Force One departed without incident shortly after the alert was resolved, and normal airport operations resumed. The episode highlights the heightened security measures surrounding presidential movements, particularly in locations such as Palm Beach, where Trump frequently stays at his Mar-a-Lago residence.

Proposal to relocate US forces to Israel

Israeli media indicated that Tel Aviv has suggested transferring some American military installations from other parts of the Middle East into Israel. The move is being evaluated as part of broader strategic talks between the two allies, particularly in light of recent military coordination against Iran.

No final decision yet

Officials have not confirmed any agreement, and the discussions remain at an early stage. Neither Israeli authorities nor the US administration have issued formal statements addressing the reports. However, the proposal reflects a potential shift in regional military posture, with implications for neighboring countries and existing US deployments.

Rising tensions across the Middle East

The talks come as the Middle East remains on high alert following the large-scale air offensive launched by the United States and Israel against Iran on Feb. 28. The strikes reportedly resulted in more than 1,300 deaths, including senior Iranian leadership figures.

In response, Iran has carried out drone and missile attacks targeting Israel, as well as countries such as Jordan, Iraq and several Gulf states hosting US military bases. The escalation has increased concerns over a wider regional conflict and its potential impact on stability, including for countries like Türkiye that are closely monitoring developments.

The possibility of new US bases in Israel is likely to influence the strategic balance in the region, as Washington and its allies reassess their military presence amid evolving security challenges.

Possible shift in military strategy

According to officials familiar with the discussions, the proposed operations would not involve a full-scale invasion but could include targeted raids by special forces and limited infantry deployments. These missions are described as a potential new stage in the conflict, carrying higher risks compared to earlier phases dominated by air and missile strikes.

Risks to US troops

Military planners have raised concerns that American forces could face threats such as drone attacks, missile strikes and ground-based explosives. Analysts emphasize that operating in confined or strategic locations would increase vulnerability, highlighting the importance of mobility and rapid response capabilities for troop safety.

Strategic targets under discussion

Among the options being reviewed are operations near Iran’s Kharg Island, a key hub for oil exports, as well as coastal missions around the Strait of Hormuz. These areas are considered critical due to their role in global energy supply and maritime trade routes, making them focal points in the broader regional confrontation.

Political debate and public opinion

While the Pentagon continues its preparations, US officials stress that no final decision has been made. President Trump has previously signaled reluctance to deploy ground forces, and senior diplomats have suggested that objectives could be achieved without a prolonged conflict. Public opinion in the US remains largely opposed to sending troops into Iran, reflecting concerns over another extended military engagement.

Rising regional tensions

Since late February, the conflict has intensified, with Iran launching retaliatory drone and missile strikes targeting Israel, Iraq, Jordan and Gulf countries hosting US assets. These developments have resulted in casualties, infrastructure damage and disruptions to global markets and aviation, increasing calls from regional actors, including Türkiye, for restraint and diplomatic solutions.

'We're going to be out of there soon'

"The president has been very clear about this, (that) we're not interested in being in Iran a year down the road, or two years down the road," Vance said. He added that the US is simply taking care of business and will withdraw once its military objectives are achieved. "We're going to be out of there soon," he pledged, directly addressing concerns about mission creep or a protracted occupation.

Gas prices expected to stabilize

Vance also sought to calm domestic anxieties over rising fuel costs linked to the conflict. He promised that gasoline prices, which have fluctuated since hostilities began on February 28, would "come back down" following the US exit. The vice president's remarks appeared aimed at reassuring American consumers who have faced higher energy bills amid the regional turmoil.

Limited objectives, quick withdrawal

The vice president's comments come as the US-Israeli war on Iran continues to draw international concern. More than 1,340 people have been killed in the conflict, including former Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, with Iran launching retaliatory drone and missile strikes. Vance's insistence on a temporary mission stands in contrast to past US military engagements in the Middle East, signaling an intent to avoid another prolonged entanglement.

Undercover operation uncovers months-long plot

Heifler, a resident of New Jersey, was taken into custody after detectives and federal agents searched his home and discovered eight Molotov cocktails. Court documents identified him as a member of a branch of the Jewish Defense League, a pro-Israel organization classified by the FBI as a terrorist group. An undercover investigation revealed that Heifler had been planning since at least February to target Nerdeen Kiswani, 31, co-founder of the pro-Palestinian group Within Our Lifetime and one of New York’s most prominent pro-Palestinian voices.

Explosives built with undercover detective

According to the criminal complaint, Heifler first discussed building and using Molotov cocktails for “self-defense” during a group video call that included an undercover detective. The detective met with Heifler in person the following day and twice more in the weeks that followed, including on Thursday, when they constructed eight Molotov cocktails together inside Heifler’s home. He was arrested shortly after. Investigators said Heifler intended to throw some of the explosive devices at cars and at least one directly into Kiswani’s home. Heifler is being held without bond pending his next court appearance and faces up to 20 years in prison if convicted. Türkiye, which has consistently voiced support for Palestinian rights and condemned political violence, continues to monitor such incidents as part of its broader concern over rising extremism linked to the ongoing regional conflict.

President’s remarks blend boast with caution

“I built this great military. I said, ‘You’ll never have to use it,’ but sometimes you have to use it. And Cuba is next, by the way,” Trump told the audience. He then appeared to temper his statement, adding with a lighthearted tone: “But pretend I didn’t say that. Please, pretend I didn’t. Please, please, please, media, please disregard that statement.” The remarks come amid ongoing US-Israeli military operations against Iran that began in late February, which have drawn regional retaliation and raised tensions across the Middle East.

Regional implications extend beyond Middle East

Trump’s comments about Cuba, made at an event focused on investment and economic ties, signal a potential expansion of US military posture beyond the Middle East. The Cuban government has not issued an immediate response to the president’s remarks. Türkiye, which maintains diplomatic relations with Cuba and has cultivated ties across Latin America, continues to advocate for peaceful resolution of international disputes and has cautioned against unilateral military action that could further destabilize global order.

US military operation credited with shifting balance

Trump attributed the shift in regional dynamics to Operation Epic Fury, the ongoing US military campaign against Iran. He argued that Iranian “terror aggression” and “nuclear blackmail” had defined the country’s posture for decades, but said those days are now ending. “As you know, we’re gathered at a moment of bold action and historic decision to make America and our allies safer and stronger, more prosperous, more successful than ever before,” he told the audience.

Trump envisions Middle East ‘free at last’ from Iranian influence

The president painted an optimistic picture of the region’s future, suggesting that the current military operations are paving the way for a new era. “Tonight we’re closer than ever to the rise of the Middle East that is finally free at last, from Iranian terror aggression and nuclear blackmail,” Trump said. His remarks come amid ongoing US and Israeli strikes against Iran that began on February 28, which have drawn retaliatory attacks from Tehran targeting US assets and allies across the region. Türkiye, which has maintained diplomatic channels with both Washington and Tehran, continues to advocate for de-escalation and has warned that prolonged conflict risks destabilizing the entire region.