Investors stick with safe-haven bonds on trade, Brexit concerns

Investors stick with safe-haven bonds on trade, Brexit concerns

News Service Reuters

Euro zone safe-haven bond yields dipped on Wednesday as trade tensions between China and the United States and renewed political uncertainty around Britain's exit from the European Union kept investors on edge.

Washington's temporary relaxation of curbs against China's Huawei Technologies has failed to offset deeper worries about an intensifying trade war between the world's two largest economies.

Adding to the nervousness, British Prime Minister Theresa May's last-ditch attempt on Wednesday to deliver a Brexit deal was widely panned by lawmakers, setting Britain on course for another period of uncertainty and worrying investors who do not know when or whether the United Kingdom will leave the EU.

"The tone of re-nervousness has come from two sources. The re-escalation of the trade war....and the tensions around the Brexit vote," said Matthew Cairns, a fixed income strategist at Rabobank.

However, Cairns described the nervousness as limited on Wednesday, with investors cautious ahead of European parliament elections beginning on Thursday.

The 10-year German bund yield, the go-to safe-haven bond when investors are jittery, dropped more than one basis point to -0.07%.

The yield has risen from 2-1/2 year lows, of -0.13%, hit earlier this month, but few investors and analysts believe it can rise back into positive territory.

"10-year Bund yields are pinned down and we don't see them going anywhere soon," Cairns said, adding that Rabobank had an end-year forecast for the 10-year yield of -0.20%.

French and Dutch government bond yields were also marginally lower in early European trade.

Portugal hopes to raise 2 billion yuan from a Chinese yuan-denominated Panda bond - the first to be launched by a euro zone country. The country's finance minister said late on Wednesday Portugal expects to price the bond on May. 30.

Elsewhere, Italian yields fell, helped by recent opinion polls that suggest deputy prime minister Matteo Salvini's far-right party may not do as well at Thursday's European parliamentary elections as previously thought.

Investors are concerned a strong showing for Salvini - as well as other populist parties across Europe - will lead to another showdown between Rome and Brussels over Italy's budget plans.

Italian 10-year yields fell 1 basis point to 2.632% , while the 2-year yield dropped 2 bps to 0.585% .

Investors had dumped Italian bonds last week, concerned about comments from Salvini that the indebted euro zone member would breach European fiscal rules, but have tiptoed back into the market this week.


We use cookies limited for the aims specified in the data policy and in accordance with the legislation. For details please see our data policy.