We are rapidly approaching the U.S. Presidential elections. The Republican candidate is now definitively determined. There seems to be no one to rival Trump. On the Democratic side, although the situation is not as clear-cut, the idea of continuing with Biden is currently prevailing. The Trump-Biden showdown is highly likely to end in Trump's favor. In short, the world awaits a new era of Trump.
In fact, in the depths of American political culture, two different conservative views clash. These are neoconservatism, advocating a kind of neo-mercantilism and challenging the world with globalist claims, and paleoconservatism, with a strong nationalist, religious ethos. The former prefers to make politics based on pluralistic and postmodern liberal themes, while the latter remains faithful to real economic values, moving from the values of financial capitalism. This roughly corresponds to Rockefeller's America versus Rothschild's America.
The situation has become quite provocative in Trump's recent statements. Trump is feeling quite relaxed. He sees how bad Biden's record in office is. Financially speaking, he's not entirely wrong. Biden had two choices. Either he would implement a program called the Green New Deal or he would start a war. The former, at least for today, was a dream. This deep transformation had a financial price tag of around $100 trillion. They announced the Green New Deal with great fanfare, but they couldn't take even the smallest step toward it. Together with the United Kingdom, they put Europe (EU) in a tight squeeze by involving NATO with a fake Russian threat. Along with the Russia-Ukraine war, any economic rapprochement with China, the dream of Europe, was thwarted at every turn. But they couldn't win this war. Neither Putin was overthrown nor the Russian economy collapsed. Russia acted very wisely in this war. It mobilized a force well below its capacity. Everyone perceived this as Russia's weakness. However, Russia was preserving its war capacity for greater confrontations. Its economy continued to operate through China and India.
The U.S. failed in the Ukraine-Russia war. They were left with their resources spent outside the U.S. They couldn't fix the U.S. economy. Yes, the war industry was booming. But overall, the U.S. economy continued to be burdened by a huge debt that exceeded all its assets. The aid to Ukraine received a huge backlash from Republicans and was blocked. Not enough; Israel put the Biden administration in a lot of trouble. Together with the EU, they were partners in the Gaza massacre. Now they're trying to control the madness of the genocidal Israeli government and clear themselves.
Actually, the heaviest loser, experiencing a surprising eclipse of reason, was Europe. The EU embarked on an irrational adventure with unqualified political cadres who allowed the Atlantic plan. First of all, they were not prepared for this war. Their stocks were depleted. The billions of dollars, euros poured into Ukraine were of no use. They started paying much more for Russian energy, which they were used to buying cheaply, by paying the shares of China and India. The miraculous German economy started to stumble and experience recession.
In short, Trump's path is clear. He gave a statement that radically rejects the formation of a global security umbrella for the U.S. using its own resources. He stated that he sees NATO as a hunchback for the U.S. This is a purely economic perspective. He announced that he does not recognize that famous Article 5 of NATO. He says to NATO members, "hands off your pockets." He says they shouldn't trust the U.S. or Article 5 blindly, that he will throw those who do not fulfill their obligations to Russia, and even encourage Russia to crush them. This view is a heavy blow to NATO. Will he do it? He will. Trump acts with determination to hand Europe over to Russia. This greatly relieves Putin. Europe, obsessed with war psychosis, is in a frenzy. Germany, Poland, the Baltic states are on fire. It's clear that if Trump comes, Ukraine's business is over. Europe is afraid of being exposed like iodine gas when the security umbrella set up by the U.S. and reassuring them is removed in the near future, and of becoming an easy prey for Russia. Disarrayed, they are busy revitalizing their war economies, which they have neglected for decades. But it seems doubtful that they can make up for this gap in a short time. On the other hand, Russia has already militarized its economy. Europe has an aging population. Young people, accustomed to prosperity, have already lost their zeal and determination to fight. The approach of the rising far right in Europe will be extremely decisive in a likely European-Russia showdown.
One of those eagerly awaiting Trump is Netanyahu. He thinks his crazy project to establish Greater Israel will get support from Trump. Considering Trump's performance in his first term, he's not entirely wrong. Frankly, I also predict this. Trump's deep-seated antisemitism, lurking in the depths of WASP ideology he represents, may resurface somewhere. This also raises the question of how the Trump-CENTCOM relationship will unfold. If Trump, who despises NATO, wins CENTCOM's favor and supports Israel to the end, it will
